Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Ella Seidel vs Jaqueline Cristian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d1875189bc5e4b5070d86c61d9574807cb2b6052701579f286f61b63929832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cristianof Seidel, Cristian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cristian | 71c | 3,617$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.24 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seidel | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,111 | 54.2%1,145 W · 966 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Seidel | 6c | 2,500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Seidel | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seidel | 36c | 2,046$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.22 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Seidel | 26c | 1,906$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Seidel | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Seidel | 15c | 1,330$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Seidel | 44c | 1,255$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.2 | 1,163 | 37.6%437 W · 726 L | -28.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cristian | 69c | 1,227$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.77 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Seidel | 2c | 1,208$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Seidel | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 674 | 31.5%212 W · 462 L | -14.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Seidel | 43c | 983.43$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.88 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cristian | 75c | 905.42$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Cristian | 58c | 861.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.69 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seidel | 19c | 859.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Seidel | 21c | 841.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Seidel | 44c | 697.89$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.07 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…e478backed Cristian | 60c | 664.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cristian | 56c | 571.43$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cristian | 56c | 530$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 662 | 58.9%390 W · 272 L | -32.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Seidel | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Seidel | 42c | 498.94$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.82 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Seidel | 14c | 386.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Cristian | 57c | 370.68$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cristian | 55c | 362.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeba…7a91backed Seidel | 4c | 355.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Seidel | 31c | 312$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Seidel | 15c | 308$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Cristian | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Cristian | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seidel | 36c | 239.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Seidel | 46c | 217.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Cristian | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Cristian | 57c | 172$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Seidel | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Cristian | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Seidel | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Seidel | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 106 | 68.9%73 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seidel | 8c | 159.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Cristian | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cristian | 55c | 107$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Seidel | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 471 | 44.4%209 W · 262 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Cristian | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Seidel | 24c | 87.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Seidel | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cristian | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 1,947 | 44%856 W · 1,091 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Seidel | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cristian | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Seidel | 25c | 58.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cristian | 69c | 56.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 6,700 | 50.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L | +267.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Seidel | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf774…3821backed Seidel | 20c | 54.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cristian | 56c | 53.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cristian | 64c | 50.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Cristian | 62c | 48.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Cristian | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 253 | 66.8%169 W · 84 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Cristian | 57c | 44.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Seidel | 36c | 40.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Cristian | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Seidel | 34c | 36.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Seidel | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Cristian | 71c | 35.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Cristian | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cristian | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 7,227 | 49.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L | +118.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Cristian | 70c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 243 | 57.6%140 W · 103 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Cristian | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Cristian | 75c | 22.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…e04abacked Cristian | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Cristian | 56c | 21.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Cristian | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Cristian | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.