TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Martin Dammof Martin Damm, Abedallah Shelbayh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Abedallah Shelbayh28c21,328$5,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,961.898,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e4…7e20backed Martin Damm71c16,415$11,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,746.0918348.1%88 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Abedallah Shelbayh29c9,488$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.453,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Martin Damm71c8,000$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32011137.8%42 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd2…6657backed Martin Damm71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh29c5,116$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.430335.3%107 W · 196 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Abedallah Shelbayh22c4,993$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.3311,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Martin Damm72c3,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98066649.5%330 W · 336 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Abedallah Shelbayh28c2,982$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.184,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Abedallah Shelbayh5c2,680$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409528.1%77 W · 875 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Abedallah Shelbayh20c2,003$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.348,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Martin Damm71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5806141%25 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Abedallah Shelbayh29c1,806$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.933,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Martin Damm70c1,464$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.261,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Abedallah Shelbayh30c1,315$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.626848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Abedallah Shelbayh17c1,282$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.118,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Martin Damm70c1,226$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.811,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Martin Damm71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Martin Damm71c913.24$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.843762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Martin Damm73c820.84$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.871,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Abedallah Shelbayh29c623.05$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8925042.4%106 W · 144 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Abedallah Shelbayh19c531.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Martin Damm70c491.04$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.312343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Martin Damm71c487.58$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.49347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Abedallah Shelbayh16c441$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.71,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed Martin Damm72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Martin Damm72c374$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7228848.3%139 W · 149 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martin Damm77c370$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.937,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh11c358$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.731,10145.1%497 W · 604 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Abedallah Shelbayh28c322$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1696541.5%400 W · 565 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Martin Damm71c312.5$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.631747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1e…20aebacked Martin Damm70c300$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915964.4%38 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Martin Damm62c296.14$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.492,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Martin Damm72c253.83$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.511,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Abedallah Shelbayh31c238.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5839747.9%190 W · 207 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Martin Damm70c223.35$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Martin Damm72c200.92$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.262,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Martin Damm70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6025252.4%132 W · 120 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Martin Damm71c173.11$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.219655.1%108 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Abedallah Shelbayh29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.567745.6%309 W · 368 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Martin Damm71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Abedallah Shelbayh9c146.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1618939.2%74 W · 115 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17af…b7e4backed Martin Damm69c145.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6529348.5%142 W · 151 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Abedallah Shelbayh32c142.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.511,01141.4%419 W · 592 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Martin Damm71c134$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.861668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Abedallah Shelbayh28c100.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.551,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Abedallah Shelbayh30c100.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6750147.7%239 W · 262 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Abedallah Shelbayh30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3091845.4%417 W · 501 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Martin Damm72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1936260.5%219 W · 143 L+27.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Martin Damm71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.28439.3%33 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Martin Damm70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2466347.1%312 W · 351 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Martin Damm70c78.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.453,80945.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L-35.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Martin Damm70c68.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8432659.2%193 W · 133 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Abedallah Shelbayh28c64.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.177,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeedc…d4c0backed Martin Damm72c56.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7814170.9%100 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Martin Damm72c55.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911,23544.9%554 W · 681 L-5.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Abedallah Shelbayh29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,01353.8%545 W · 468 L+35.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked Martin Damm70c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+62.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed Martin Damm70c50.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.05666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8195…3fedbacked Martin Damm71c49.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Abedallah Shelbayh29c48.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.225030%15 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e7f…64b7backed Martin Damm70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.864065%26 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b5…1bd4backed Martin Damm71c42.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2714946.3%69 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Martin Damm71c41.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9223853.4%127 W · 111 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Martin Damm71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.69753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Martin Damm69c37.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551,06652.4%559 W · 507 L+30.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa8…251bbacked Martin Damm70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Martin Damm77c35.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.195,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Abedallah Shelbayh34c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2164753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Martin Damm70c28.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5517747.5%84 W · 93 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Martin Damm72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7859166.7%394 W · 197 L-1.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Martin Damm72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7833059.1%195 W · 135 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Martin Damm71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9614187.2%123 W · 18 L+30.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+30.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Martin Damm71c23.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7717067.6%115 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Martin Damm71c22.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.486344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Martin Damm74c20.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5136146.3%167 W · 194 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Martin Damm73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.47293.1%67 W · 5 L+16.8wins+0.23per pick70cpaid+30.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Martin Damm60c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.336,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.