Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf5ff8a9ede20351fadd895fce886036e41d181a59938774026aad01fb21cc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed Yes | 25c | 454.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 25c | 410.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a3…fbdcbacked Yes | 37c | 373.52$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 64c | 308.19$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 37c | 224.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 209.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 199.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 23c | 171$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 67c | 170.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…7722backed Yes | 41c | 168.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 154.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…72d2backed Yes | 38c | 151.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 147$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…548abacked Yes | 28c | 139.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 36c | 132.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 131.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…d023backed Yes | 35c | 130.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 59c | 114.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 109.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed No | 63c | 105.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…91d6backed Yes | 25c | 86.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8174…be40backed Yes | 39c | 85.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8be…ee6fbacked Yes | 12c | 83.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…b2e3backed Yes | 24c | 82.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 77c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 14c | 79.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed Yes | 38c | 75.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 15c | 74.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 30c | 74.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…8fd1backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…c3b3backed Yes | 54c | 69.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 67.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 64.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 68c | 58.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 43c | 56.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 54.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 51.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 36c | 51.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 63c | 51.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 75c | 51.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 61c | 43.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 63c | 43.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 61c | 40.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 38c | 40.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…d0d0backed No | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 113 | 69.9%79 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 48c | 35.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 35.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 74c | 35.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…91f7backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 176 | 35.2%62 W · 114 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef11…a7a1backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…d419backed No | 80c | 28.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 39c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 78c | 27.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20e…b050backed Yes | 39c | 27.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +68%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 171 | 65.5%112 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb5…3d4fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 65c | 17.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 17.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed No | 64c | 16.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…c4cebacked No | 62c | 16.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…f207backed No | 75c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.