Fifa International · resolved market
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5e4f728a68159687116bc255a418a9218aa2094a14946dcd182dabf6b4c4b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 34c | 1,300$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.88 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 28c | 671.62$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.27 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 30c | 483$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes | 71c | 412.12$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…faa9backed No | 29c | 398.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 64c | 344.69$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…408cbacked No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 70c | 211.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 22c | 198.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…5d02backed Yes | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 26c | 134.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 70c | 112.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4793…a932backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 80.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…0f63backed Yes | 72c | 79.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a554backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846e…bf3cbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 72c | 67.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb222…d26bbacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes | 76c | 33.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…13dabacked Yes | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 70c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…b529backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsthis page
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 2+ shotsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 2+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Aymeric Laporte: 1+ shotsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brice Samba: 3+ savesNo won
- Brice Samba: 4+ savesNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- David Raya: 3+ savesNo won
- David Raya: 4+ savesNo won
- David Raya: 5+ savesNo won
- Dayot Upamecano: 1+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jules Koundé: 1+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shotsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 5+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.