Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad662b6bc6e22442362cc6c546c9e9fbaa96860a2beaf898b1517cdf6ab2bed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 62c | 16,270$10,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,137.75 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 46c | 11,806$5,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.82 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 18c | 3,366$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.2 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 3,010$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.4 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,355$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 37c | 2,259$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.33 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 990.45$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.94 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 18c | 736.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 55c | 728$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 55c | 728$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 52c | 672.85$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.97 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 13c | 504.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 78c | 499.43$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 18c | 299.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Yes | 59c | 186.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 57c | 146.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes | 79c | 131.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 77c | 119$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 27c | 118.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 29c | 109.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 75c | 103.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…4b28backed Yes | 80c | 99.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 33c | 98.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 49c | 97.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 19c | 97.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 51c | 94.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 49c | 88.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 41c | 87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed No | 22c | 63.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed No | 20c | 60.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Yes | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed74…95adbacked Yes | 56c | 58.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 49c | 55.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed Yes | 80c | 55.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 37c | 48.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 48.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 48c | 47.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…12e6backed Yes | 46c | 47.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 44c | 38.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 69c | 36.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed No | 55c | 36.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 78c | 32.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 43c | 30.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 50c | 29.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 62c | 28.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 27.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien end in a draw?No won
- Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.