Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vacaria: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Daria Egorova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd644066ae9337283314b739bafce128d07daf68c11bd725ed358363dc2011c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucciana Perez Alarconof Lucciana Perez Alarcon, Daria Egorova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Egorova | 62c | 7,597$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696.52 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 25c | 7,312$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.47 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Daria Egorova | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Daria Egorova | 8c | 1,751$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Daria Egorova | 10c | 1,696$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Daria Egorova | 10c | 1,696$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Egorova | 71c | 1,161$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.69 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Daria Egorova | 6c | 700$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daria Egorova | 35c | 632.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Daria Egorova | 6c | 516$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 42c | 505$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.66 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 72c | 474.66$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Daria Egorova | 67c | 414$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 24c | 295.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Daria Egorova | 6c | 284$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 38c | 252.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 22c | 224$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Daria Egorova | 62c | 218.29$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Daria Egorova | 66c | 206$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 67c | 201.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Daria Egorova | 53c | 166.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 22c | 165.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Daria Egorova | 49c | 153.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1,540 | 49.2%758 W · 782 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 55c | 141.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 44c | 133.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…4831backed Daria Egorova | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Daria Egorova | 34c | 116.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Daria Egorova | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Daria Egorova | 44c | 77.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…ab4cbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 52c | 73.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daria Egorova | 59c | 59.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 74c | 57.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Daria Egorova | 61c | 51.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 38c | 47.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Daria Egorova | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Daria Egorova | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Daria Egorova | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Daria Egorova | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Daria Egorova | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Daria Egorova | 53c | 29.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Daria Egorova | 48c | 25.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Daria Egorova | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Daria Egorova | 65c | 20.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…4f6abacked Daria Egorova | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…b1c7backed Daria Egorova | 70c | 17.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.