Tennis · resolved market
ITF Slobozia: Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae4a3f64d71ad8aac53148668520dbbb8062c9e1a1453fb604db096ca71886e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oleksandr Ovcharenkoof Oleksandr Ovcharenko, Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 39c | 12,464$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.76 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 63c | 11,412$7,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 53c | 1,862$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.24 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 44c | 899$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 32c | 429.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.84 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 33c | 363$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 58c | 332.14$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 62c | 287.39$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 45c | 203.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 60c | 116.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 62c | 102.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 77c | 65.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 25c | 57.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 47c | 56.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 38c | 52.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 66c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 73c | 48.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 66c | 44.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 55c | 19.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 66c | 17.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 68c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.