Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava Open, Qualification: Caroline Werner vs Laura Pigossi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae69efd98fd0d3dac3dd538f114d110fb3e78ce52b3859e2bee79eaf4f2fbd87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pigossiof Werner, Pigossi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pigossi | 69c | 7,959$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Werner | 44c | 4,554$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Werner | 38c | 4,185$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pigossi | 55c | 3,363$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.98 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Pigossi | 57c | 3,150$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.67 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Werner | 41c | 2,432$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Werner | 45c | 1,790$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Werner | 45c | 1,523$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.17 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…7007backed Pigossi | 62c | 1,491$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Pigossi | 67c | 1,167$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.16 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Pigossi | 43c | 1,124$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.69 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pigossi | 45c | 870$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.27 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Werner | 3c | 820.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Werner | 40c | 711.83$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.99 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pigossi | 57c | 656.87$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.86 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Werner | 67c | 579$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.17 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…e43bbacked Werner | 36c | 441.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Pigossi | 45c | 389.1$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.95 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Werner | 48c | 376.32$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Pigossi | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Pigossi | 46c | 342.74$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Pigossi | 46c | 335.28$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Werner | 66c | 303.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Pigossi | 44c | 191.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Werner | 27c | 174.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Werner | 40c | 155.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Werner | 52c | 137.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Pigossi | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Pigossi | 38c | 122.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Werner | 41c | 115.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Pigossi | 63c | 109.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Werner | 58c | 102.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Pigossi | 62c | 100.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Pigossi | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pigossi | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Werner | 44c | 73.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…78b1backed Pigossi | 56c | 53.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Werner | 44c | 46.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Werner | 32c | 42.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Werner | 29c | 38.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Werner | 61c | 35.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Pigossi | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Werner | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Werner | 74c | 27.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Werner | 68c | 26.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Werner | 51c | 21.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.6wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…fb78backed Pigossi | 62c | 21.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pigossi | 50c | 21.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.