Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaef758287e077b1f238a6682a54c9918c5bab20203b50785a4b606affb794c3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes | 4c | 11,921$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 10,316$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes | 4c | 10,136$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.45 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 5c | 3,983$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 4c | 3,400$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…f5e0backed Yes | 4c | 2,702$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,714$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd7…0a46backed Yes | 4c | 1,496$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,356$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 4c | 1,349$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 6c | 1,336$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 4c | 1,166$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…085abacked Yes | 5c | 1,061$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…b3fdbacked Yes | 4c | 914.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 4c | 832$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 4c | 798.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes | 3c | 719.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 3c | 692.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…6af8backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…86b2backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 4c | 476$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes | 4c | 421.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 3c | 420.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 4c | 416.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 5c | 377.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 4c | 372.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 4c | 350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…0981backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Yes | 4c | 279.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 4c | 239$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Argentina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina?Yes won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 3 Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.