Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3ad06a4c6585c8ed797b525d779ac98da556ed72b719fbe5ba150ff58846eb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 2,658$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.24 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 11c | 2,473$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 15c | 2,405$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.21 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 1,771$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 11c | 1,743$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.97 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,717$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,591$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Yes | 11c | 1,455$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 11c | 1,087$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 10c | 999.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 13c | 970.12$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb748…dbddbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…0118backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 11c | 627.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Yes | 11c | 464.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 12c | 431.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…085abacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 13c | 372.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 8c | 307.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…3cf4backed Yes | 14c | 280$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 76c | 240$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yes | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad66…e188backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…6af8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 11c | 180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…8316backed Yes | 14c | 139.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70a…d065backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb6…69abbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 11c | 95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2c00backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…7862backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…2ccbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Argentina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina?Yes won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 3 Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.