Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf4ed6ade022f94ebbbf69c3884ce081786b1e0581d156543d6f30f37ac818d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 308.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 33c | 272.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 21c | 262.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 34c | 222.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 39c | 177.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 165$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 159.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 65c | 155.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…5490backed No | 65c | 139.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 128$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 75c | 126.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…8dcbbacked Yes | 34c | 126.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 122$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 10c | 116.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 70c | 106.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…842cbacked No | 69c | 100.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 34c | 100.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 89.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 71c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5541backed Yes | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 76.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 22c | 68.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 33c | 63.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 32c | 62.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 25c | 59.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 40c | 57.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 36c | 54.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba09…ea86backed Yes | 39c | 53.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…8668backed Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 70c | 50.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 57c | 49.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed Yes | 24c | 49.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 23c | 48.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…bd68backed No | 72c | 48.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Yes | 27c | 46.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 70c | 45.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 63c | 44.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 29c | 43.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 67c | 42.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…ac0ebacked No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 34c | 39.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 74c | 37.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 61c | 36.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 33c | 35.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 30c | 34.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 72c | 31.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 34c | 30.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 70c | 28.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 116 | 70.7%82 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38aa…53a6backed Yes | 37c | 27.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…9c5bbacked No | 64c | 25.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 25.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked No | 71c | 25.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed No | 61c | 22.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 66c | 22.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…e559backed No | 71c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 67c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…e416backed No | 63c | 21.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 71c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 65c | 20.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 67c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…55bfbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 83 | 85.5%71 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…c337backed No | 72c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 74c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.