Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Sanhui Shin vs Kasidit Samrej
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf6a6b06184b26a7ce9fd79a5512ec289958369f28fdabae57855838ad1659e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sanhui Shinof Sanhui Shin, Kasidit Samrej
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sanhui Shin | 67c | 5,295$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.8 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kasidit Samrej | 41c | 2,979$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.9 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…dcc2backed Sanhui Shin | 54c | 1,661$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Kasidit Samrej | 22c | 1,218$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.73 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Sanhui Shin | 43c | 695.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.83 | 439 | 47.2%207 W · 232 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Sanhui Shin | 74c | 516.75$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kasidit Samrej | 23c | 440.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Kasidit Samrej | 31c | 407$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kasidit Samrej | 21c | 375.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Kasidit Samrej | 59c | 332.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kasidit Samrej | 34c | 306.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Kasidit Samrej | 25c | 248.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Kasidit Samrej | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Kasidit Samrej | 58c | 171.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kasidit Samrej | 27c | 171.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Kasidit Samrej | 42c | 153.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kasidit Samrej | 15c | 152.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Kasidit Samrej | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Kasidit Samrej | 28c | 145.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Kasidit Samrej | 39c | 137.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Kasidit Samrej | 29c | 118.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kasidit Samrej | 38c | 105.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kasidit Samrej | 39c | 104.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Sanhui Shin | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sanhui Shin | 75c | 98.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kasidit Samrej | 56c | 95.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Kasidit Samrej | 28c | 92.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kasidit Samrej | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Kasidit Samrej | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Kasidit Samrej | 62c | 80.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sanhui Shin | 45c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Kasidit Samrej | 55c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Kasidit Samrej | 28c | 74.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Kasidit Samrej | 28c | 74.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Kasidit Samrej | 49c | 61.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sanhui Shin | 39c | 61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kasidit Samrej | 42c | 57.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Kasidit Samrej | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sanhui Shin | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sanhui Shin | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sanhui Shin | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kasidit Samrej | 38c | 48.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Kasidit Samrej | 68c | 45.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Kasidit Samrej | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kasidit Samrej | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Sanhui Shin | 77c | 33.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Kasidit Samrej | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Sanhui Shin | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Kasidit Samrej | 60c | 29.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Kasidit Samrej | 66c | 27.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Kasidit Samrej | 46c | 21.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…3919backed Sanhui Shin | 79c | 20.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Kasidit Samrej | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Kasidit Samrej | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.