TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eastern Illinois Panthersof Western Illinois Leathernecks, Eastern Illinois Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks24c7,065$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.6812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Illinois Panthers76c6,093$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.65,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Eastern Illinois Panthers74c3,032$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.7439744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Western Illinois Leathernecks24c2,217$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.711,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Eastern Illinois Panthers74c2,169$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9984147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Western Illinois Leathernecks24c2,106$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.81,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Western Illinois Leathernecks4c1,871$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.232,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Western Illinois Leathernecks26c1,727$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.093,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks4c1,519$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.761,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Illinois Leathernecks30c1,365$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.31,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks5c1,237$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.141,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Eastern Illinois Panthers75c1,137$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.335354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Eastern Illinois Panthers75c750$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.54757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks25c581.49$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.041,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Western Illinois Leathernecks22c579.62$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.522,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Eastern Illinois Panthers77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1157058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers71c424.28$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.079849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2e…7f7fbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks27c400$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Eastern Illinois Panthers75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6719554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Western Illinois Leathernecks26c260$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.682048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Eastern Illinois Panthers74c152$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.275447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Western Illinois Leathernecks26c131$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0649043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Western Illinois Leathernecks25c119$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7521347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Western Illinois Leathernecks19c108.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4318241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Western Illinois Leathernecks26c106.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6789146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Western Illinois Leathernecks52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5218147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Western Illinois Leathernecks11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1148051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers75c90.56$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.644,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Eastern Illinois Panthers71c90.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.562,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Eastern Illinois Panthers48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.844955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Western Illinois Leathernecks26c79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.542,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Western Illinois Leathernecks24c69.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172512%3 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Eastern Illinois Panthers77c68.76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.653,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Western Illinois Leathernecks30c67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16114.8%9 W · 52 L-12.0wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Western Illinois Leathernecks24c61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.772,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Western Illinois Leathernecks24c60.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4637835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks20c56.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5557335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Eastern Illinois Panthers76c55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.353,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Eastern Illinois Panthers76c54.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Eastern Illinois Panthers79c51.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2a…f4f7backed Eastern Illinois Panthers75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Eastern Illinois Panthers79c45.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.561,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Eastern Illinois Panthers78c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.821,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers79c30.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.224,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc808…5c47backed Eastern Illinois Panthers74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.326861.8%42 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d22…95b7backed Eastern Illinois Panthers76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f04…ecb3backed Eastern Illinois Panthers80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57100%7 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85f7…fb66backed Eastern Illinois Panthers78c16.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.613613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.