Fifa International · resolved market
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb053464695f3dddc9d3895faac912c27b07e97ca281159c2fa608a2b29623def
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 43c | 5,541$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.46 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 3,831$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.38 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 54c | 3,241$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.83 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 761.31$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 46c | 625.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.02 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 47c | 357.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 52c | 323.15$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 61c | 235.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 128$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked No | 12c | 113.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 60c | 73.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 47c | 67.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…1422backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 49.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Yes | 46c | 45.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 47c | 35.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 51c | 29.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 46c | 26.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 53c | 19.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 53c | 19.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bulgaria (-1.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Bulgaria (-2.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Moldova (-1.5)Bulgaria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.