Fifa International · resolved market
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d9d33a41fba0916862cd834a0f4fb065ef34babefa76e8914c29a30f9baf785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 1,786$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.62 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Under | 44c | 1,458$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 67c | 850.75$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.75 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 75c | 812.02$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 34c | 590.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 64c | 565.63$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 458.33$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 66c | 286.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 76c | 260.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 58c | 219.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…a49bbacked Over | 67c | 173$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 22c | 154.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 61c | 143.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 33c | 136.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a2…8cb0backed Over | 69c | 134.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…5822backed Over | 66c | 123.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 67c | 110.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 67c | 93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 85.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 83.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 33c | 82.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 296 | 39.9%118 W · 178 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 31c | 77.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 68.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 67c | 63.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 66c | 54.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 52.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 31c | 51.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 66c | 49.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 66c | 44.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 33c | 30.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 34c | 29.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 66c | 28.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 58c | 24.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160f…64ccbacked Over | 70c | 18.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f6…ece2backed Over | 55c | 18.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 67c | 15.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5this page
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bulgaria (-1.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Bulgaria (-2.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Moldova (-1.5)Bulgaria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.