Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45885666ac2487a8badda95258dcfdbd10b171977c65e949dc6da787a634f06c

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $63,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,135 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over	41c	7,837$3,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,595.08	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	60c	5,454$3,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,279.83	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over	39c	4,798$1,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,923.73	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	3,436$1,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,647.16	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under	64c	2,350$1,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.8	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	39c	1,789$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.67	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over	48c	1,500$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.32	144	33.3%48 W · 96 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	39c	1,457$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.9	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over	61c	1,429$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.23	175	69.1%121 W · 54 L	+14.4wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	43c	1,163$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.79	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over	53c	952.32$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.32	86	72.1%62 W · 24 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	39c	759.6$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.6	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	47c	705.32$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.5	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	55c	686.81$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.82	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over	47c	637.57$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.91	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	55c	630.63$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.98	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under	61c	599.99$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	55c	598.4$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.32	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	60c	509.98$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.38	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over	41c	492.95$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.95	282	58.2%164 W · 118 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over	56c	445$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.8	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under	60c	427.67$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	44c	417.26$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.95	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	58c	391.17$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.39	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	60c	331.92$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.4	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	40c	325.6$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.53	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa1…2242backed Under	58c	320.59$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.23	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	52c	307$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.44	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over	37c	298.06$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.65	226	34.1%77 W · 149 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over	40c	285.03$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.02	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	59c	284.57$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.74	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under	60c	254.99$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.77	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	109	48.6%53 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under	58c	238.42$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.28	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	59c	228.51$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.87	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	56c	214.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.29	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	60c	209.61$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.77	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-8.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	141	46.1%65 W · 76 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over	39c	199.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.99	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over	39c	170.79$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.79	197	46.2%91 W · 106 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over	45c	168.25$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.34	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under	61c	163.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.59	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	60c	156$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	59c	152.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.23	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	59c	145$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.55	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	40c	105.18$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.11	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	39c	104.25$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.6	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	55c	101.03$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.03	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.5	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	343	51.9%178 W · 165 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	53c	98.34$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.33	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	25c	90.74$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	57c	87.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.93	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	30c	82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	58c	68.88$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.95	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under	61c	65.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	85	72.9%62 W · 23 L	+7.4wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over	39c	64.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.1	165	47.9%79 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	54c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	40c	50.91$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	363	29.8%108 W · 255 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over	53c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.7	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over	51c	49.99$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.49	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	60c	49.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	30c	45.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over	60c	41.36$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	57c	40.7$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	414	51.4%213 W · 201 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	57c	40.7$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over	39c	39.15$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Over	54c	36.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.97	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-7.5wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Under	62c	36.53$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.69	114	50.9%58 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	60c	33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Under	70c	31.6$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.12	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over	40c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	170	18.8%32 W · 138 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under	61c	25.49$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	370	57.3%212 W · 158 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under	50c	22.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	444	35.4%157 W · 287 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Under	63c	21.21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	48	70.8%34 W · 14 L	+5.7wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	61c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.71	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under	60c	16.88$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5this page
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 0.5Over won
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5Over won
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5Over won
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 4.5Under won
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Bulgaria (-1.5)Moldova won
Spread: Bulgaria (-2.5)Moldova won
Spread: Moldova (-1.5)Bulgaria won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event