Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0d077e39fe50ba4365a4db2be81fe96c24cd8633cff8715a9ec1a597942507f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 6c | 3,398$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 65c | 618.07$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.45 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +28.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…83a4backed No | 2c | 617.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 63c | 420.24$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.53 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 31c | 285.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 614 | 21.8%134 W · 480 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 15c | 281.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 42c | 228.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373e…b868backed No | 28c | 220.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 25c | 217.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Yes | 58c | 204.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 69c | 175.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 35c | 164.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 62c | 162.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 383 | 46.7%179 W · 204 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…1608backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1f9bbacked Yes | 41c | 128.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 97 | 12.4%12 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 1,246 | 30%374 W · 872 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 15c | 126.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 921 | 45.6%420 W · 501 L | -29.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 27c | 120.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 47c | 118$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 116$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 6,891 | 39.4%2,717 W · 4,174 L | +269.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed No | 69c | 108.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 450 | 59.1%266 W · 184 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 58c | 104.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed No | 27c | 100.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 625 | 39.7%248 W · 377 L | +28.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 419 | 27%113 W · 306 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 36c | 98.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 547 | 38.6%211 W · 336 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 37c | 95.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | +37.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7,233 | 9.3%675 W · 6,558 L | -1,116.1wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8a…627cbacked Yes | 37c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…01fabacked No | 25c | 88.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e75…0f1ebacked Yes | 32c | 86.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 73c | 83.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 148 | 87.8%130 W · 18 L | +28.3wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 63c | 81.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 279 | 44.4%124 W · 155 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 37c | 81.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 722 | 33.4%241 W · 481 L | +32.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 27c | 79.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…b0ecbacked No | 19c | 78.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 77.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 39c | 75.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…19d5backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 2,757 | 29.7%819 W · 1,938 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 42c | 64.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 2,286 | 57.3%1,309 W · 977 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 78c | 64.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…ddc2backed Yes | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 24c | 62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Yes | 76c | 61.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…568abacked Yes | 35c | 60.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 46c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 504 | 62.3%314 W · 190 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9f…c0ffbacked Yes | 39c | 57.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 56.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 36c | 56.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1,671 | 37.9%633 W · 1,038 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 29c | 56.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 481 | 40.3%194 W · 287 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…eae5backed Yes | 36c | 55.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 5,489 | 56%3,075 W · 2,414 L | -123.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 35c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 493 | 63.5%313 W · 180 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 35c | 53.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 62c | 51.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…daa5backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…8d44backed No | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…8929backed Yes | 32c | 46.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 45.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1,632 | 60.7%990 W · 642 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 28c | 42.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…928ebacked Yes | 53c | 41.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 62c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 207 | 36.7%76 W · 131 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,158 | 57.1%661 W · 497 L | -45.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba5…c168backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…b34fbacked Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…c4febacked No | 67c | 38.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 38.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,196 | 50.8%608 W · 588 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffcd…1666backed No | 67c | 36.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 35.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 39c | 35.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 30c | 34.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 58c | 30.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 575 | 59.7%343 W · 232 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 76c | 30.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 63c | 30.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb576…d959backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,691 | 47.5%1,278 W · 1,413 L | +48.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…a8f1backed Yes | 39c | 28.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…86f1backed No | 70c | 28.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec7…d145backed Yes | 42c | 26.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…253ebacked No | 74c | 23.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…15fcbacked No | 63c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 59c | 20.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 358 | 64%229 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0aa…3259backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 247 | 56.3%139 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…b328backed No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 69c | 14.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 166 | 68.1%113 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 70c | 14.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3,201 | 53.6%1,716 W · 1,485 L | -101.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.