Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12a35c8744ed637ceca451e724caf653bfc1fbf99fb1bfeda40311bf5a74055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 23c | 1,330$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 20c | 1,272$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed Yes | 29c | 1,249$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.26 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…427cbacked No | 79c | 580$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 61c | 570$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +24.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1f9bbacked Yes | 22c | 508.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 97 | 12.4%12 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…3a4cbacked No | 67c | 423.56$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 75c | 392$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 419 | 27%113 W · 306 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 79c | 289.05$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 8,337 | 49.2%4,098 W · 4,239 L | +271.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…0f28backed No | 56c | 265.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 262$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 3,139 | 49.6%1,558 W · 1,581 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 77c | 259.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +28.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…928ebacked Yes | 46c | 241.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Yes | 69c | 218.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 80c | 218.05$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 892 | 59.8%533 W · 359 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed No | 60c | 206.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 115 | 27.8%32 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 24c | 203.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,246 | 30%374 W · 872 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 577 | 44.9%259 W · 318 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 31c | 193.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 614 | 21.8%134 W · 480 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 73c | 187.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e75…0f1ebacked Yes | 31c | 185.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 41c | 184.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 176$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 2,215 | 74%1,638 W · 577 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed Yes | 12c | 173.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 70c | 156.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 352 | 83.8%295 W · 57 L | +39.0wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…8c99backed No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc5…c74abacked No | 74c | 134.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…52dbbacked No | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 14c | 130$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 79c | 125.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 68c | 122.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 120.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 7,233 | 9.3%675 W · 6,558 L | -1,116.1wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 6,891 | 39.4%2,717 W · 4,174 L | +269.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 63c | 112.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 26c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 499 | 51.7%258 W · 241 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed No | 78c | 100.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 625 | 39.7%248 W · 377 L | +28.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 523 | 47.6%249 W · 274 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 46c | 96.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 23c | 93.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 547 | 38.6%211 W · 336 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8a…627cbacked Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb576…d959backed Yes | 23c | 87.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9302…901fbacked Yes | 23c | 86.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…1e2abacked Yes | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…b0ecbacked Yes | 21c | 85.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 84.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 78c | 82.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 31c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 855 | 48.7%416 W · 439 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 65c | 74.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 321 | 49.8%160 W · 161 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 39c | 74.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 493 | 63.5%313 W · 180 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 21c | 69.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 21c | 69.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…013cbacked No | 73c | 68.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 67c | 65.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 533 | 73.7%393 W · 140 L | +36.8wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…242fbacked No | 77c | 64.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 504 | 62.3%314 W · 190 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 35c | 62.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 383 | 46.7%179 W · 204 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 23c | 61.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,671 | 37.9%633 W · 1,038 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 74c | 60.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…6ed2backed Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 51c | 58.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 40c | 56.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…78abbacked No | 39c | 51.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038c…b4e0backed No | 55c | 51.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 35c | 51.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 153 | 27.5%42 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 269 | 35.7%96 W · 173 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3,032 | 31.3%949 W · 2,083 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 722 | 33.4%241 W · 481 L | +32.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed Yes | 23c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 374 | 67.4%252 W · 122 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…2fa1backed No | 67c | 49.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…c771backed Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 32c | 48.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb884…19c1backed Yes | 26c | 46.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 45.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1,632 | 60.7%990 W · 642 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…93e0backed Yes | 25c | 44.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 75c | 43.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 30c | 43.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 386 | 52.8%204 W · 182 L | -25.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba8…aeadbacked No | 72c | 42.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 68c | 41.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 166 | 68.1%113 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 78c | 41.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 3,649 | 53.2%1,943 W · 1,706 L | +83.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 40.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,158 | 57.1%661 W · 497 L | -45.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…56a3backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 80c | 39.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 255 | 64.7%165 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda61…2b5fbacked No | 72c | 39.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…d295backed Yes | 52c | 38.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 36.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3,426 | 31.1%1,066 W · 2,360 L | -38.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…92fcbacked No | 68c | 36.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 213 | 52.6%112 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 55c | 33.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed No | 76c | 33.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e7…73c4backed No | 76c | 32.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 550 | 26.9%148 W · 402 L | -66.5wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.