Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2719ea286a51e33e3bdbbc3952aaebc9daa4a9fa8cae722dd001a310cbbbed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 41c | 9,555$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.53 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…de25backed Under | 59c | 6,888$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 6,154$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.9 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 59c | 3,622$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.02 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 59c | 3,314$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.56 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 58c | 1,234$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.83 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4190…2e04backed Over | 41c | 1,165$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Under | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 58c | 690.57$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.04 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 41c | 653.6$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.98 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 70c | 410.1$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Under | 59c | 390.1$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 31c | 299.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 58c | 279.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 58c | 253.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 40c | 237.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Under | 59c | 198.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 41c | 198.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Over | 42c | 195.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 42c | 183.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Under | 59c | 169.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 42c | 136.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 47c | 135.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 78c | 134.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 59c | 123.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 59c | 97.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 54c | 95.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 63c | 94.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Over | 50c | 66.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 69c | 60.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked Over | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Under | 68c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 20c | 49.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6e64backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 58c | 46.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 60c | 46.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Under | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f07…b471backed Over | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Under | 59c | 30.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 68c | 24.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 59c | 19.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 66c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LGD Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Anyone's Legend won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.