CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LEO vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b13afc423ac214567e0f3755ecc801b7762cb06d6adbb2f61bd101e7f01de8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof LEO, eSuba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LEO | 21c | 1,214$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.18 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked eSuba | 77c | 997.48$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed LEO | 34c | 930.38$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.62 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked eSuba | 62c | 839.81$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.1 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed eSuba | 63c | 792.98$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.42 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed LEO | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed LEO | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed eSuba | 60c | 543.28$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed LEO | 30c | 413$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LEO | 20c | 382.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked LEO | 41c | 339.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked eSuba | 62c | 324.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LEO | 8c | 317$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LEO | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LEO | 13c | 288.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed LEO | 19c | 282.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked LEO | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LEO | 19c | 275.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed eSuba | 61c | 259.28$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…262dbacked eSuba | 73c | 236.77$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked LEO | 42c | 233.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed LEO | 39c | 229.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked LEO | 37c | 213.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…9168backed LEO | 41c | 205.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed eSuba | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked LEO | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked LEO | 43c | 184.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked eSuba | 79c | 173.35$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed eSuba | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked LEO | 33c | 162.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed LEO | 37c | 157.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed eSuba | 67c | 147.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed LEO | 37c | 145.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked LEO | 37c | 140.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LEO | 22c | 138.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked LEO | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…ae26backed LEO | 30c | 104.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed LEO | 17c | 102.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked LEO | 20c | 92.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LEO | 31c | 84.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LEO | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked LEO | 20c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LEO | 41c | 69.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c312backed LEO | 43c | 64.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked LEO | 38c | 54.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LEO | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed LEO | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked eSuba | 76c | 49.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked eSuba | 63c | 48.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked LEO | 37c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked LEO | 41c | 45.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked LEO | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed LEO | 37c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed eSuba | 59c | 32.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…436bbacked eSuba | 62c | 32.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked LEO | 38c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed eSuba | 57c | 29.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed eSuba | 64c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked eSuba | 75c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LEO vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: LEO vs eSuba - Map 1 WinnereSuba won
- Counter-Strike: LEO vs eSuba - Map 2 WinnereSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.