Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Xinran Sun vs Mia Ristic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2e7bc2b836142c38e9ce1b567d59eba3dc0159b3f9470ee338362aed837247f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mia Risticof Xinran Sun, Mia Ristic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Mia Ristic | 75c | 7,655$5,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.13 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Xinran Sun | 15c | 7,129$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.94 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xinran Sun | 8c | 6,279$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.99 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Xinran Sun | 31c | 5,306$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.21 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xinran Sun | 27c | 3,886$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.5 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Mia Ristic | 70c | 1,302$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.33 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mia Ristic | 68c | 1,251$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.25 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Xinran Sun | 11c | 1,087$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Xinran Sun | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Xinran Sun | 2c | 669.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mia Ristic | 68c | 665.19$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mia Ristic | 72c | 583.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Xinran Sun | 27c | 528.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 486.83$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 1,418 | 55%780 W · 638 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Xinran Sun | 31c | 378.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mia Ristic | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Xinran Sun | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Mia Ristic | 73c | 306.39$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Xinran Sun | 33c | 303.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Xinran Sun | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Mia Ristic | 68c | 299.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Xinran Sun | 29c | 252.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mia Ristic | 63c | 237.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Xinran Sun | 33c | 207.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Xinran Sun | 20c | 184$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Xinran Sun | 18c | 181.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Xinran Sun | 29c | 170.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Xinran Sun | 31c | 159.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mia Ristic | 77c | 155.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Xinran Sun | 30c | 138.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Xinran Sun | 16c | 129.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Mia Ristic | 63c | 119.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 257 | 63.4%163 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mia Ristic | 67c | 106.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Xinran Sun | 30c | 103.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Mia Ristic | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Xinran Sun | 34c | 99.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Xinran Sun | 18c | 98.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Xinran Sun | 11c | 93.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xinran Sun | 26c | 92.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Xinran Sun | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Xinran Sun | 30c | 82.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Xinran Sun | 20c | 76.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Xinran Sun | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Xinran Sun | 15c | 69.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Xinran Sun | 34c | 64.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Xinran Sun | 26c | 62.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d5…138ebacked Mia Ristic | 66c | 60.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Mia Ristic | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Mia Ristic | 64c | 54.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Mia Ristic | 67c | 52.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Xinran Sun | 31c | 42.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Xinran Sun | 34c | 41.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Mia Ristic | 73c | 41.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Xinran Sun | 33c | 40.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Mia Ristic | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mia Ristic | 67c | 31.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Xinran Sun | 34c | 29.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Mia Ristic | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Mia Ristic | 67c | 22.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1,016 | 57.7%586 W · 430 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Mia Ristic | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Mia Ristic | 67c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mia Ristic | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.