Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2fcf12c2901ff31e50622b25553902e5636df7f76028eda128a7d159be68363
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 27c | 766.85$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 75c | 549.6$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 38c | 414.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 50c | 412.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 371.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 44c | 336.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.83 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 70c | 287.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…d7a7backed No | 53c | 265.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked No | 33c | 235.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 69c | 217.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 78c | 195.62$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Yes | 37c | 174.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked Yes | 77c | 160.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 45c | 156.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 46c | 151.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 9c | 147.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 37c | 145.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…88e2backed Yes | 44c | 136.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 136.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 124.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 118.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…d388backed No | 55c | 111.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 33c | 102.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 99.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 68c | 99.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked Yes | 39c | 98.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 39c | 97.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…cc39backed Yes | 69c | 96.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 34c | 93.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…0634backed Yes | 49c | 89.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 17c | 88.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…a397backed No | 48c | 80.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 34c | 72.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 56c | 69.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 46c | 64.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 57c | 63.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 76c | 61.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 54c | 57.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 59c | 57.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 51c | 56.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 60c | 55.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…9b0cbacked Yes | 66c | 53.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 55c | 52.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 35c | 50.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 66c | 49.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 79c | 49.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 49.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 47c | 47.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 39c | 47.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 40c | 47.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 45c | 46.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 70c | 43.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…48ccbacked No | 55c | 40.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed Yes | 42c | 39.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 66c | 39.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…86b1backed No | 71c | 37.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 51c | 37.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 39c | 36.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…aecdbacked Yes | 35c | 36.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 45c | 36.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…7e5cbacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 41c | 29.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 55c | 29.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 28.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 72c | 28.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed No | 52c | 27.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 48c | 27.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 42c | 26.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 40c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…1116backed No | 60c | 25.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318b…d827backed No | 57c | 25.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…8f6cbacked No | 63c | 25.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…ab61backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…c83fbacked No | 79c | 24.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1936…a066backed Yes | 45c | 23.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3410…f999backed No | 43c | 23.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…636abacked No | 49c | 23.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…7b82backed No | 63c | 22.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 69c | 21.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…8ac5backed No | 60c | 21.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…2501backed No | 69c | 20.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…bd8cbacked No | 60c | 20.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 59c | 18.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 60c | 16.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.