CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Brute - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a50ecb876924b6fa02441de54f292ec87d6a089bdbacf37a6dd9490b06a1da

Rebuilt 28 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Brute
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $94,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,342 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Brute	22c	7,321$1,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,610.58	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Eternal Fire	75c	7,231$5,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,816.65	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute	21c	7,182$1,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.92	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute	21c	4,875$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.63	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Brute	26c	1,897$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.49	610	34.3%209 W · 401 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Eternal Fire	70c	1,842$1,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.09	756	52.6%398 W · 358 L	+27.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Brute	22c	1,800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1,319	44.2%583 W · 736 L	+45.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Brute	19c	1,560$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.18	1,033	53.2%550 W · 483 L	+64.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Eternal Fire	68c	966.4$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.57	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Eternal Fire	51c	799.99$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394	410	50.7%208 W · 202 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire	80c	766.19$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.69	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Brute	24c	761$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.64	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Brute	32c	754.98$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.7	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Brute	25c	730$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.1	358	39.4%141 W · 217 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Brute	21c	680.49$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.73	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Brute	26c	674.11$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.71	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2817…62dfbacked Eternal Fire	72c	651.65$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.65	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Brute	19c	606$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.12	514	46.9%241 W · 273 L	-22.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Eternal Fire	55c	549.99$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.5	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Brute	25c	519.48$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.87	227	29.1%66 W · 161 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Brute	27c	499.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	371	45.6%169 W · 202 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Eternal Fire	69c	487.65$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.17	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Brute	34c	481.58$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.39	421	54.6%230 W · 191 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3100…4179backed Eternal Fire	78c	455.34$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.44	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Brute	28c	417.47$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.26	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Eternal Fire	72c	403.49$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.49	265	46.8%124 W · 141 L	-18.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Brute	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Eternal Fire	55c	361.79$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.28	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Eternal Fire	64c	359.32$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.32	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire	66c	321.5$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.82	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Brute	31c	320.68$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.41	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Brute	13c	319.6$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	266	24.4%65 W · 201 L	-26.9wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Brute	27c	296.38$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.02	251	42.6%107 W · 144 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Brute	36c	295.13$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.3	1,088	54.2%590 W · 498 L	+39.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81b…87e8backed Eternal Fire	74c	280.55$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Eternal Fire	72c	250$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.41	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Eternal Fire	59c	237.11$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.22	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Brute	20c	229$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.84	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…dfaabacked Eternal Fire	79c	222.4$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.68	74	59.5%44 W · 30 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Eternal Fire	73c	220.76$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.62	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Eternal Fire	71c	212.72$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.27	366	45.6%167 W · 199 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Brute	20c	203.32$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.01	418	53.6%224 W · 194 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Brute	20c	179$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.07	207	42.5%88 W · 119 L	-17.5wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Brute	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	220	37.3%82 W · 138 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Brute	29c	156.43$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.28	401	40.6%163 W · 238 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Brute	33c	152$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Brute	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.68	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Brute	23c	130.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	308	59.1%182 W · 126 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Brute	51c	123$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.88	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Brute	25c	121.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	368	56.8%209 W · 159 L	+13.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Eternal Fire	72c	115$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.42	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Brute	22c	110.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Eternal Fire	69c	104.19$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.54	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Eternal Fire	72c	104.17$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.17	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Brute	26c	102.95$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.77	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Brute	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	719	51%367 W · 352 L	+28.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Brute	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.45	723	53.5%387 W · 336 L	+28.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Brute	29c	94$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Brute	59c	87.31$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.43	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed Brute	27c	86.18$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Brute	58c	84.05$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	398	47.7%190 W · 208 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Brute	24c	84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Brute	42c	79.27$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.29	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Eternal Fire	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177d…158abacked Brute	19c	77.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	32	50%16 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Brute	42c	69.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.09	201	54.7%110 W · 91 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire	45c	68.67$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.54	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Brute	55c	62$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.16	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed Brute	25c	56.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Eternal Fire	76c	55$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.95	245	58%142 W · 103 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Brute	25c	54.83$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89ea…6063backed Eternal Fire	72c	52.51$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.81	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Brute	31c	47.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.89	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Brute	22c	46.3$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	35	68.6%24 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed Eternal Fire	72c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Brute	32c	37.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	401	37.2%149 W · 252 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed Eternal Fire	74c	37.36$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.65	247	56.7%140 W · 107 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Eternal Fire	76c	33.36$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.01	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Eternal Fire	65c	30.65$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.65	210	60%126 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked Eternal Fire	76c	29.38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Eternal Fire	80c	25.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.07	169	63.3%107 W · 62 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ce…01a9backed Eternal Fire	68c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Eternal Fire	65c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.75	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Eternal Fire	66c	23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.82	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	-16.4wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Brute	50c	22.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Eternal Fire	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	619	48%297 W · 322 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e95…5b64backed Eternal Fire	66c	15.38$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.23	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…2318backed Eternal Fire	66c	15.38$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.23	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Brute (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)Eternal Fire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Brute - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event