CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Brute (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8bb5aaa12a21b6c85f4ac5436bd29c9a9257cfae89a480ffed59db37b2d4d93

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Brute
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,511 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Brute	18c	4,923$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.64	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Eternal Fire	74c	4,448$3,282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.19	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire	71c	3,210$2,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.99	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Brute	29c	2,250$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.99	1,411	33.7%475 W · 936 L	+42.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…a6d3backed Eternal Fire	69c	1,341$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.24	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Brute	3c	1,094$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Brute	29c	860$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.4	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Eternal Fire	73c	812.34$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.7	132	58.3%77 W · 55 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Eternal Fire	73c	750$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.5	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	-16.4wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Brute	26c	737.5$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.75	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Brute	27c	671.88$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.41	371	45.6%169 W · 202 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Brute	29c	549.99$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.34	447	47.2%211 W · 236 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Eternal Fire	73c	547.54$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.54	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Brute	31c	545.16$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Brute	27c	536.25$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.79	849	58.3%495 W · 354 L	+60.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Brute	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	534	44.9%240 W · 294 L	+11.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Brute	21c	461.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.07	249	39.8%99 W · 150 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Eternal Fire	71c	450.5$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.65	465	55.1%256 W · 209 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Brute	12c	391.58$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.26	379	22.2%84 W · 295 L	-43.1wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Eternal Fire	71c	366.02$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.73	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Brute	29c	344.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.04	351	31.1%109 W · 242 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed Brute	31c	322$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.82	231	46.3%107 W · 124 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Eternal Fire	75c	311.36$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.95	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Brute	28c	300.06$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	991	48.3%479 W · 512 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Brute	31c	279.98$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.79	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Brute	12c	278.85$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.61	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Eternal Fire	73c	273.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	317	61.2%194 W · 123 L	+22.1wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Eternal Fire	71c	215.1$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.38	736	58.2%428 W · 308 L	-22.8wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed Brute	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Brute	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	399	55.4%221 W · 178 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Eternal Fire	72c	175.2$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.06	597	55.4%331 W · 266 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Brute	20c	172$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.22	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Brute	28c	171.16$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.92	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed Brute	9c	160.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe011…159fbacked Brute	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d3…78c7backed Eternal Fire	70c	147.11$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.41	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Brute	26c	121.32$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.54	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Brute	29c	120$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Brute	29c	116.03$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.62	488	51.8%253 W · 235 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Brute	30c	111$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	148	46.6%69 W · 79 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Eternal Fire	78c	110.42$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.82	1,274	71.5%911 W · 363 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Brute	15c	104.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed Brute	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	256	35.5%91 W · 165 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Brute	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Brute	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	659	46.6%307 W · 352 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Eternal Fire	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Brute	28c	99.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	206	37.9%78 W · 128 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Brute	13c	99.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.07	686	59.5%408 W · 278 L	+65.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fdd…2055backed Eternal Fire	71c	98.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.71	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.33per pick	46cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Brute	22c	96$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Brute	30c	92.38$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.7	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Brute	26c	85.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd1…f311backed Brute	32c	79.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0ce…7ecbbacked Brute	32c	78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Brute	16c	74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Eternal Fire	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	193	47.2%91 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Eternal Fire	69c	68.58$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.26	446	54.9%245 W · 201 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Brute	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-5.7wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Brute	30c	63.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.81	491	49.9%245 W · 246 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5f…6219backed Eternal Fire	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Brute	31c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf21…667bbacked Brute	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Brute	27c	55.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Eternal Fire	75c	54.77$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.77	43	69.8%30 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Brute	22c	52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Brute	22c	52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Eternal Fire	73c	51.78$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.98	609	54%329 W · 280 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Eternal Fire	72c	51.02$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.29	470	54%254 W · 216 L	+12.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Brute	29c	50.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	677	50.2%340 W · 337 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Brute	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	401	40.6%163 W · 238 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Brute	30c	48.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4290…af07backed Eternal Fire	69c	43.48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.48	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Eternal Fire	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	838	56.1%470 W · 368 L	+31.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x619a…036abacked Eternal Fire	71c	40.75$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.82	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	67cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…fe38backed Eternal Fire	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	69cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe676…aeaabacked Eternal Fire	75c	39.9$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	57	66.7%38 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Brute	28c	38.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	648	54.3%352 W · 296 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Brute	28c	37.04$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	850	54.4%462 W · 388 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Brute	31c	32.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8b…cc69backed Eternal Fire	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	110	52.7%58 W · 52 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed Eternal Fire	73c	21.33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.76	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked Eternal Fire	78c	19.1$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	184	81.5%150 W · 34 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	74cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Eternal Fire	80c	18.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.69	294	55.8%164 W · 130 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…5fa9backed Eternal Fire	71c	18.33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.23	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Eternal Fire	73c	16.44$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.44	173	60.1%104 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Brute (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)Eternal Fire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Brute (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event