Fifa International · resolved market
England to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb458f750570fa3e759cbbe78a6769be8428c0a6153e0a463db0f327bf20a561c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 2,119$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.02 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 48c | 1,413$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.06 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 53c | 994.01$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.82 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 51c | 714$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.57 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 631.56$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…b1f8backed Yes | 48c | 609.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.29 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…3a4ebacked Yes | 51c | 391.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 48c | 347.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.93 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 58c | 343.49$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 52c | 291.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 258.89$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.62 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 242.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 54c | 119.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…a53cbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 74.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 71.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…530dbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…4647backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 53c | 39.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…34fcbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 54c | 35.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 47c | 35.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 34.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…751bbacked Yes | 47c | 33.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 45c | 24.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 54c | 20.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to win the second half?this page
- Croatia to win the second half?No won
- England vs. Croatia: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.