Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Alexandr Binda vs Mert Naci Turker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4a27837369ff022992526f22b8be611d010b8bf7c8dd513ff261159ed5134c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandr Bindaof Alexandr Binda, Mert Naci Turker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Mert Naci Turker | 41c | 4,500$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexandr Binda | 60c | 2,056$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexandr Binda | 72c | 1,595$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Alexandr Binda | 60c | 244.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexandr Binda | 66c | 234.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Alexandr Binda | 63c | 175.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alexandr Binda | 63c | 158.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mert Naci Turker | 34c | 151.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Alexandr Binda | 58c | 114.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Mert Naci Turker | 42c | 101.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Alexandr Binda | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alexandr Binda | 70c | 98.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Alexandr Binda | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Mert Naci Turker | 34c | 95.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Alexandr Binda | 69c | 94.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Mert Naci Turker | 38c | 94.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Mert Naci Turker | 45c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alexandr Binda | 60c | 91.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alexandr Binda | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Mert Naci Turker | 15c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Alexandr Binda | 68c | 67.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alexandr Binda | 60c | 58.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mert Naci Turker | 35c | 57.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Alexandr Binda | 62c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Mert Naci Turker | 36c | 51.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alexandr Binda | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Alexandr Binda | 61c | 49.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Alexandr Binda | 62c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alexandr Binda | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Mert Naci Turker | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cb…3af8backed Alexandr Binda | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alexandr Binda | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Alexandr Binda | 62c | 19.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexandr Binda | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Alexandr Binda | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alexandr Binda | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Alexandr Binda | 78c | 13.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Istanbul 2: Alexandr Binda vs Mert Naci Turkerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Binda vs TurkerBinda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.