TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Nicolas Arseneault

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aleksandar Vukicof Aleksandar Vukic, Nicolas Arseneault
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1a9…e51abacked Nicolas Arseneault5c43,414$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.58812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+204.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe174…5b34backed Nicolas Arseneault10c14,052$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4301414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Nicolas Arseneault20c8,806$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.942,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Arseneault8c4,800$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.1111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x552b…f8bcbacked Nicolas Arseneault5c4,475$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.551216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Arseneault13c3,899$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.758,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Aleksandar Vukic79c2,517$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.6294068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db8…0ed7backed Aleksandar Vukic79c2,100$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4478350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Aleksandar Vukic80c1,997$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.444,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Nicolas Arseneault18c1,647$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.2930530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Aleksandar Vukic79c1,411$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.911,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1c…4db8backed Aleksandar Vukic77c1,234$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.921478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Nicolas Arseneault20c1,226$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nicolas Arseneault7c1,144$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.862,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nicolas Arseneault20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3f…50b1backed Aleksandar Vukic79c914.59$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.891361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Nicolas Arseneault22c901.23$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3634748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Nicolas Arseneault22c889.32$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.117323.7%41 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolas Arseneault20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Aleksandar Vukic80c754.21$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2159965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nicolas Arseneault18c694.13$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.183,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Aleksandar Vukic79c666$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.271,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Nicolas Arseneault20c660.77$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1738141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Nicolas Arseneault21c635.19$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.551,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Nicolas Arseneault21c599.68$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.557,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Nicolas Arseneault14c586.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.762,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbae1…a7b6backed Nicolas Arseneault13c538.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688732.2%28 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Aleksandar Vukic80c514.46$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4635360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nicolas Arseneault11c500$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Nicolas Arseneault13c460.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6044527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nicolas Arseneault13c460.47$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.773,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Aleksandar Vukic78c459.54$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.14,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Nicolas Arseneault22c420$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.242,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57ab…68b6backed Nicolas Arseneault23c417.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511214.3%16 W · 96 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Nicolas Arseneault7c402.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Nicolas Arseneault21c399.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.722,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Nicolas Arseneault8c346.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.584753.2%25 W · 22 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+76.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Nicolas Arseneault5c336$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.085,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe081…0bf5backed Nicolas Arseneault10c326.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.68123.5%19 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Nicolas Arseneault7c325.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.496049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolas Arseneault12c300.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.516,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf00…1199backed Nicolas Arseneault13c294.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.46456.3%36 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Aleksandar Vukic79c281.39$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3924159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Aleksandar Vukic80c278.98$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.686470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Nicolas Arseneault6c270.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.184,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Nicolas Arseneault20c248.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.861,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Nicolas Arseneault20c230.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9755748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Nicolas Arseneault20c226.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a0…217cbacked Nicolas Arseneault8c217$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5850%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc8…7f4bbacked Nicolas Arseneault11c214.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.563450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ac…e2b9backed Nicolas Arseneault22c206.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nicolas Arseneault23c204.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.452,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nicolas Arseneault19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Nicolas Arseneault22c180.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.821,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Nicolas Arseneault20c175.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0425550.6%129 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Nicolas Arseneault20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4586835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed Aleksandar Vukic75c148.25$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3613245.5%60 W · 72 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Nicolas Arseneault21c130$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.911,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Aleksandar Vukic78c127.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7311765%76 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nicolas Arseneault8c127.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.036,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d57…8e0cbacked Nicolas Arseneault22c127.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.013740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Aleksandar Vukic79c127.22$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7217972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Nicolas Arseneault22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.391,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Nicolas Arseneault10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.782,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Nicolas Arseneault21c109.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.419627.1%26 W · 70 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nicolas Arseneault19c103$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9195140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Nicolas Arseneault22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.012,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nicolas Arseneault22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Nicolas Arseneault18c88.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9546851.5%241 W · 227 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nicolas Arseneault21c88.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.871,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Aleksandar Vukic80c87.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.981,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Nicolas Arseneault21c82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5330132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nicolas Arseneault20c80.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0174346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nicolas Arseneault22c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Nicolas Arseneault21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9573951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Nicolas Arseneault21c77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1730055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Aleksandar Vukic79c62.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8912162%75 W · 46 L-14.3wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Aleksandar Vukic80c62.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nicolas Arseneault17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.291,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Nicolas Arseneault22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3785637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Aleksandar Vukic79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6133651.5%173 W · 163 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4f…ab40backed Aleksandar Vukic80c48.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.684170.7%29 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf182…6225backed Aleksandar Vukic78c39.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Aleksandar Vukic79c31.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.663,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Aleksandar Vukic79c30.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.351,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…b1d4backed Aleksandar Vukic79c26.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.58666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cca…69d2backed Aleksandar Vukic78c25.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Aleksandar Vukic79c25.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2245751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Aleksandar Vukic80c20.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1819637.2%73 W · 123 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe01…b45dbacked Aleksandar Vukic78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.422377.6%173 W · 50 L+0.6wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Aleksandar Vukic79c19.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.111948.7%58 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f89…434cbacked Aleksandar Vukic80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.