Cricket · resolved market
T20 Asia Pacific Champions Trophy: Singapore vs Uzbekistan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb57fd2f988749a32e793f8ff8dc7e1523f84a739f6f7268e5461e5107f668e68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Singaporeof Singapore, Uzbekistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeae4…ad95backed Uzbekistan | 1c | 3,146$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Uzbekistan | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Uzbekistan | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Uzbekistan | 9c | 1,718$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Uzbekistan | 4c | 1,120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Uzbekistan | 5c | 669.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Uzbekistan | 11c | 656.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Uzbekistan | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed Uzbekistan | 14c | 549.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Uzbekistan | 7c | 425.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Uzbekistan | 14c | 399.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Uzbekistan | 31c | 375$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Uzbekistan | 37c | 238$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Uzbekistan | 9c | 220.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Uzbekistan | 10c | 214.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Uzbekistan | 9c | 210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Uzbekistan | 26c | 205$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Uzbekistan | 8c | 141.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Uzbekistan | 15c | 120.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Uzbekistan | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Uzbekistan | 27c | 50.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Uzbekistan | 22c | 50.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Uzbekistan | 35c | 45.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Singapore | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Singapore | 71c | 14.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.