Tennis · resolved market
Little Rock: Ronald Hohmann vs Murphy Cassone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5822b29bef5787aea6f712baa3f8afd82511e94a478e0eb91a739aca4ab607f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ronald Hohmannof Ronald Hohmann, Murphy Cassone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Murphy Cassone | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ronald Hohmann | 42c | 5,932$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.48 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Murphy Cassone | 57c | 3,075$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.06 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ronald Hohmann | 26c | 1,808$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.36 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ronald Hohmann | 35c | 1,794$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.13 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Ronald Hohmann | 28c | 1,284$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.1 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Murphy Cassone | 51c | 1,124$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Ronald Hohmann | 18c | 1,116$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.6 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ronald Hohmann | 16c | 1,079$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.51 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ronald Hohmann | 14c | 590.19$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.56 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Murphy Cassone | 59c | 420.06$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.41 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Murphy Cassone | 67c | 406.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Ronald Hohmann | 23c | 400.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.43 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Murphy Cassone | 17c | 320$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Ronald Hohmann | 18c | 282.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.53 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec9…e4f8backed Murphy Cassone | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ronald Hohmann | 53c | 239$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ronald Hohmann | 40c | 222.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Murphy Cassone | 7c | 219.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Ronald Hohmann | 33c | 218$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Murphy Cassone | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Ronald Hohmann | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Murphy Cassone | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…90ccbacked Murphy Cassone | 48c | 198.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Murphy Cassone | 54c | 189$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Ronald Hohmann | 19c | 184$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ronald Hohmann | 41c | 171.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Ronald Hohmann | 23c | 148.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Murphy Cassone | 64c | 146.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Ronald Hohmann | 15c | 142.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ronald Hohmann | 49c | 134.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Murphy Cassone | 49c | 126.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Ronald Hohmann | 55c | 109.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Murphy Cassone | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Murphy Cassone | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Murphy Cassone | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 373 | 54.2%202 W · 171 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Murphy Cassone | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Ronald Hohmann | 39c | 98.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Ronald Hohmann | 46c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Murphy Cassone | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 796 | 53%422 W · 374 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Murphy Cassone | 67c | 72.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Ronald Hohmann | 17c | 59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Murphy Cassone | 27c | 55.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Murphy Cassone | 72c | 52.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Murphy Cassone | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Murphy Cassone | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Ronald Hohmann | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…cfb0backed Murphy Cassone | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…4f83backed Murphy Cassone | 60c | 48.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f3…aa23backed Murphy Cassone | 67c | 44.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Ronald Hohmann | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Murphy Cassone | 78c | 37.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Murphy Cassone | 72c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Murphy Cassone | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 590 | 50.5%298 W · 292 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Murphy Cassone | 69c | 30.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Murphy Cassone | 45c | 24.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ronald Hohmann | 49c | 23.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Murphy Cassone | 51c | 22.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 83 | 71.1%59 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.