Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb598cd0593edd6c7a33701a1ebbc7002a8f89f6e667b4a80cdde1624057d3e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked No | 34c | 1,331$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.69 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 14c | 518.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 22c | 490.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 51c | 460.67$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.71 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed Yes | 72c | 326.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 77c | 324.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 77c | 324.1$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 302$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…2529backed Yes | 74c | 273.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 239.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed No | 30c | 221$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked No | 13c | 210.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 6c | 197.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…12b4backed Yes | 66c | 193.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…ceb0backed Yes | 62c | 191.28$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 6c | 187.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 66c | 178.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 6c | 174.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 9c | 166.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…9fb8backed Yes | 49c | 161.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 65c | 153.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 29c | 152.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 68c | 140.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…1870backed Yes | 75c | 137.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 589 | 22.8%134 W · 455 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…0cf2backed Yes | 70c | 133.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 24c | 124.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed No | 21c | 124.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…002dbacked No | 65c | 114.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 96 | 79.2%76 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 60c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 15c | 109.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 44c | 105.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 15c | 105.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 50c | 105.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 102$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 47c | 94.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 35c | 94.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 29c | 90.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 50c | 88.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed No | 30c | 85.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 17c | 82.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 28c | 76.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 70c | 70.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 71c | 68.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 21c | 67.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…697dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 58.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 65c | 54.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 50c | 50.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 24c | 49.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked Yes | 46c | 48.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc26e…33cabacked Yes | 36c | 44.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…c567backed Yes | 53c | 44.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 56c | 42.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Yes | 55c | 41.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 33c | 38.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…bc87backed No | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 39c | 35.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 53c | 32.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked Yes | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 31.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 40c | 29.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 60c | 28.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…4134backed Yes | 71c | 27.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 84 | 66.7%56 W · 28 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…3475backed No | 44c | 27.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc84…a0d2backed Yes | 80c | 26.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…07a0backed Yes | 50c | 26.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 90 | 66.7%60 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…76c2backed No | 49c | 26.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed No | 52c | 26.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 80c | 24.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed Yes | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked No | 72c | 17.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…31a0backed Yes | 64c | 17.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb005…146dbacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.