TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,624 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c6,517$4,081 inWon+$2,435.374,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over80c1,696$1,350 inLost-$1,35035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over34c1,500$510 inLost-$509.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over38c1,499$570 inLost-$569.6422943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over38c1,328$500 inLost-$50021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c879.41$299 inWon+$580.084,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c657.88$409 inWon+$248.932,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…9b10backed Over38c600$228 inLost-$2287537.3%28 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked Under62c545.21$338 inWon+$207.464763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Under62c500$310 inWon+$1905648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c494.73$192 inLost-$191.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over39c436.72$170 inLost-$170.323,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over37c250$93 inLost-$92.531046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Over38c210.53$80 inLost-$8014638.4%56 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under63c208$131 inWon+$77.262,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c200$124 inWon+$762,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Over37c200$74 inLost-$746936.2%25 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Over37c200$74 inLost-$744420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over39c164.22$64 inLost-$63.883,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Under63c159.93$100 inWon+$59.9316225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75b0…0c9bbacked Under47c107.26$50 inWon+$57.266473.4%47 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over37c99.99$37 inLost-$372,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Over38c92.11$35 inLost-$358731%27 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over39c79.49$31 inLost-$3112631%39 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Under64c71$45 inWon+$25.5627227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost-$257142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over38c65.78$25 inLost-$2521143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over38c50$19 inLost-$191,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over35c49.8$18 inLost-$17.5348328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under66c39.97$26 inWon+$13.592,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over38c38.5$15 inLost-$14.6312847.7%61 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee91…c2fdbacked Over39c38.21$15 inLost-$14.91566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x573f…4eb3backed Over38c31.58$12 inLost-$127048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over38c30$11 inLost-$11.4686656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Over55c28.6$16 inLost-$15.734327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Over40c25$10 inLost-$1011034.5%38 W · 72 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under64c21.7$14 inWon+$7.8142640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c21.06$14 inWon+$6.863,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under62c18.05$11 inWon+$6.861,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.