Fifa International · resolved market
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dde145663663d5a3a2fe995e1a84a0468a2b21846cedb4774676faaf1ad07e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 12c | 20,003$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.61 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 13c | 8,842$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.81 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…be57backed Under | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Under | 15c | 2,150$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 10c | 1,932$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 8c | 1,650$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Under | 24c | 1,511$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.36 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Under | 17c | 1,493$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.88 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Under | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Under | 10c | 1,104$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 15c | 973.83$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Under | 7c | 926.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…5751backed Under | 23c | 878.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed Under | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 72c | 763.88$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 9c | 732.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Under | 7c | 693.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Under | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Under | 33c | 612.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 80c | 610$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 14c | 537$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Under | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…b8cdbacked Under | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 486.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 4c | 365$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 13c | 346.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…b87dbacked Under | 25c | 342.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 315$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…29b0backed Under | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…237cbacked Under | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…88f0backed Under | 13c | 274.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Under | 20c | 252.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Under | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…eef9backed Under | 6c | 210.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 10c | 188.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Under | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…4869backed Under | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 14c | 185.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Under | 13c | 182.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 14c | 179.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c4…1378backed Under | 7c | 177.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 14c | 137.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 12c | 125.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 9c | 123.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 8c | 122.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 21c | 119.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…4ddebacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 71c | 81.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 19c | 80.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Under | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…ddb5backed Under | 17c | 78.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515b…2d91backed Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 77c | 49.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Under | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 171 | 54.4%93 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5this page
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao O/U 0.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Over won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5Over won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5Under won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Curaçao (-5.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-4.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-5.5)Curaçao won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.