TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5739…e8b6backed Under23c21,002$4,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.974740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over76c7,225$5,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over77c3,935$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.13,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over78c2,548$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5621333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over77c2,189$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.441,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over78c1,626$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.422,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over78c1,550$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34125844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over77c1,308$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over77c1,259$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.572,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under22c1,114$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Under22c981.23$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.873737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x978a…202ebacked Under2c965.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under22c888.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.482,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over77c587.28$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.63,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Under22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over76c440.53$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7513351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under23c437.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c437.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over79c356.96$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9615156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over78c149.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1623940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2163152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300f…dd62backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over76c119.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5423345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over78c109.5$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.161,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under22c106.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.471,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Under22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210250%51 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5712…f144backed Over79c96.86$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.343969.2%27 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Under22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038933.2%129 W · 260 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb7…943ebacked Under24c81.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.519053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Under27c79.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over73c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3633438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Under22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112540%50 W · 75 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under21c49.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4918118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over77c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.353,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Over79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.419653.6%105 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.981,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over77c31.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.292,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1c…98e8backed Over78c28.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.365863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked Over79c26.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.539839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over78c24.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.52,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over78c17.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.911,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over78c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4686656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.