MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6001745860a1fa98e21bd9e5f7b878ea27e4a4e4d6af0d3d32a351277508e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 70c | 3,241$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 25c | 2,407$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.21 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 1,214$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.22 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 1,182$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 960.83$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.53 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Doosan Bears | 2c | 835.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kia Tigers | 21c | 658.66$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.11 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Kia Tigers | 17c | 603.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.82 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 455.34$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Kia Tigers | 45c | 425.43$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.97 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Kia Tigers | 39c | 420.62$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.41 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 311.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 307.17$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 299.65$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.29 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…c385backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 278.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kia Tigers | 66c | 257.69$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 244.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 236.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 204.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Kia Tigers | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 199.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.87 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 186.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Doosan Bears | 18c | 170.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 15c | 156.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Doosan Bears | 15c | 156.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Doosan Bears | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed Kia Tigers | 46c | 106.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Kia Tigers | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 90.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 88.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 84.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 83.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 73.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 65.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 60.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 50.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Kia Tigers | 29c | 50.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Kia Tigers | 45c | 49.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Doosan Bears | 36c | 46.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08dc…32bebacked Kia Tigers | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Doosan Bears | 30c | 40.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 37.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 34.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…955abacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 33.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 30.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 29.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 28.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 24.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 22.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 20.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.