TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Asuncion 2: Santiago De La Fuente vs Matias Soto

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Matias Sotoof Santiago De La Fuente, Matias Soto
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Matias Soto74c21,924$16,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,769.028,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Santiago De La Fuente20c14,744$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Santiago De La Fuente26c13,267$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400.693,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Santiago De La Fuente32c5,215$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.0811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matias Soto64c4,204$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.996,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Santiago De La Fuente24c4,179$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Matias Soto80c3,269$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.444,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc92…649dbacked Santiago De La Fuente39c3,147$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.599118.7%17 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Santiago De La Fuente14c3,056$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.268,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Santiago De La Fuente41c3,004$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.649,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Matias Soto78c2,059$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.493,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Matias Soto61c1,744$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.114,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Matias Soto79c1,284$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.613,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Matias Soto71c1,241$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.575,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matias Soto77c1,064$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.958,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Matias Soto78c866$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.174,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Matias Soto69c841.34$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.474,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Santiago De La Fuente33c832.34$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.251,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Matias Soto69c744.55$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.812,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Santiago De La Fuente14c659.68$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.142,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Santiago De La Fuente18c651.85$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.641,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Santiago De La Fuente30c566.1$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.471,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Santiago De La Fuente33c520$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.44,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Santiago De La Fuente33c499.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.634,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Santiago De La Fuente42c489.52$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Matias Soto65c483.37$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.632,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Santiago De La Fuente7c481.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Matias Soto80c398.24$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.865,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Santiago De La Fuente52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Matias Soto55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Santiago De La Fuente41c348.78$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Santiago De La Fuente15c336.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5085348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Santiago De La Fuente33c334.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.861,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d6…66dfbacked Santiago De La Fuente37c297.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Santiago De La Fuente34c296.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Santiago De La Fuente42c292.44$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.922,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Matias Soto78c287.37$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3784968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Santiago De La Fuente21c283.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.611,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Santiago De La Fuente31c259.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5430844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Santiago De La Fuente43c244.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0948331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Santiago De La Fuente25c205$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3543950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Santiago De La Fuente11c195.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5662727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Matias Soto53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6826253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Matias Soto55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8243158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Matias Soto48c179.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9319941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Santiago De La Fuente41c175.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7223754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Santiago De La Fuente41c175.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7287854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x301d…604dbacked Matias Soto58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417432.4%24 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Matias Soto57c170$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4630040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Matias Soto64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Matias Soto72c148.19$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.556,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Matias Soto60c145$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5891051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Matias Soto78c141.03$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0352557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Santiago De La Fuente8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Santiago De La Fuente32c123.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.851,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73c3…fd98backed Santiago De La Fuente41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509354.8%51 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Santiago De La Fuente41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039451.8%204 W · 190 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e48…828fbacked Santiago De La Fuente41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa245…48f7backed Santiago De La Fuente41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506753.7%36 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda42…ba30backed Santiago De La Fuente41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507653.9%41 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Santiago De La Fuente41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5092355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Santiago De La Fuente41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028557.9%165 W · 120 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Santiago De La Fuente41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049056.9%279 W · 211 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc06b…76ddbacked Santiago De La Fuente41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508050%40 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa2e…9d98backed Santiago De La Fuente41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507361.6%45 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x695c…35dfbacked Matias Soto62c120.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.971758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Santiago De La Fuente28c112.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.659056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Matias Soto49c112$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6818841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Matias Soto59c110.12$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1226345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…aea3backed Santiago De La Fuente39c107.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Matias Soto69c102.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.246,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Santiago De La Fuente31c100.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.091,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Santiago De La Fuente30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Santiago De La Fuente21c90.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3235039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Matias Soto62c85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.369438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Santiago De La Fuente26c77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Santiago De La Fuente41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9dd…13a2backed Santiago De La Fuente41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024557.6%141 W · 104 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Matias Soto78c72.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9496945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Santiago De La Fuente31c72.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.43,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Santiago De La Fuente41c68.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3054…055bbacked Santiago De La Fuente36c64.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.213752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Santiago De La Fuente16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109458.5%55 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee9…8e38backed Santiago De La Fuente35c61.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Matias Soto49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.619744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Matias Soto77c57.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.247544%33 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe997…61b6backed Santiago De La Fuente28c55.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.466926.1%18 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a1…2dbebacked Santiago De La Fuente21c51.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Santiago De La Fuente22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1192046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Santiago De La Fuente31c49.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1735555.5%197 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Matias Soto57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3574955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Santiago De La Fuente35c41.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.630150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Matias Soto69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.561,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Matias Soto72c38.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6556070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Matias Soto77c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.931,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb29…4b3abacked Matias Soto74c33.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Matias Soto74c29.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec28…8d7abacked Santiago De La Fuente43c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211230.4%34 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Matias Soto71c21.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2620841.8%87 W · 121 L-26.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Matias Soto77c20.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5733673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.