Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb764c52a88e4a5c16942b2f30d2f9a736e894d786a898bb8dbd8b6d72d67a18e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 55c | 375.38$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 52c | 260.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 186.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 38c | 168.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 135.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 134.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 41c | 107$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…1a22backed Yes | 62c | 105.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 97 | 83.5%81 W · 16 L | +26.5wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 47c | 100.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…ffb0backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 52c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 16c | 93.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 56c | 91.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…ac63backed No | 59c | 84.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 43c | 80.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 46c | 80.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 26c | 78.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 48c | 76.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 38c | 75.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…9356backed Yes | 50c | 73.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 18c | 72.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 50c | 68.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 67.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 39c | 63.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 49c | 60.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 20c | 60.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 39c | 57.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 52c | 57.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 43c | 57.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…6884backed No | 50c | 57.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 49c | 55.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…39d8backed Yes | 37c | 54.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…0568backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked No | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 58c | 46.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 45c | 45.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…e457backed No | 63c | 43.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf362…0505backed Yes | 52c | 42.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…9f36backed No | 57c | 42.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…95bdbacked Yes | 46c | 42.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 56c | 40.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 50c | 40.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 58c | 38.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked Yes | 80c | 38.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…15d5backed Yes | 50c | 38.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 41c | 38.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 55c | 36.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 49c | 36.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…caa0backed Yes | 53c | 34.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…f81ebacked Yes | 55c | 32.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…7c64backed No | 49c | 31.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 51c | 30.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 343 | 69.4%238 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 49c | 30.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…c7f6backed Yes | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 42c | 28.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 55c | 27.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 47c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9b60backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 159 | 15.7%25 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…cdf5backed Yes | 54c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 49c | 21.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…af97backed Yes | 56c | 21.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 76c | 20.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 56c | 18.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 68c | 18.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…bba7backed Yes | 76c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.