TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Longwood Lancers vs. Winthrop Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Eaglesof Longwood Lancers, Winthrop Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Longwood Lancers15c988.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.281,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked Longwood Lancers2c960.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21390%0 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Longwood Lancers36c445.68$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.41,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Winthrop Eagles53c414.77$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.522,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Winthrop Eagles75c396.61$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.881,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Longwood Lancers15c340.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Winthrop Eagles58c255$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.122157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Winthrop Eagles80c231.25$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.693,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Longwood Lancers21c200.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Winthrop Eagles80c199.77$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.881,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Winthrop Eagles80c191.27$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2537441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Winthrop Eagles58c185$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.472,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Longwood Lancers20c184.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.12,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Longwood Lancers36c184$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.562,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Winthrop Eagles79c173.37$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.715,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Longwood Lancers16c133$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Winthrop Eagles56c128$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.371,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Winthrop Eagles53c126.81$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.821,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Longwood Lancers36c123.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.991,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Longwood Lancers37c113.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Longwood Lancers44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.052425%6 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Longwood Lancers14c108.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Winthrop Eagles69c108.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc916…2ee5backed Longwood Lancers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Longwood Lancers15c95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.257245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Longwood Lancers20c92.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.051,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Longwood Lancers16c68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.884259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x24f7…4e2abacked Winthrop Eagles69c58.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Winthrop Eagles60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x612e…8427backed Longwood Lancers20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Winthrop Eagles56c49.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.931,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e4…ec34backed Longwood Lancers42c47.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Winthrop Eagles65c43.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1538345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Winthrop Eagles53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.293,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Winthrop Eagles57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.081,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Winthrop Eagles79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.