MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f9a8320f3edfcf1ad7dc07d8df4ba27faa7a925ffe06267f0b1196def5c53f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 2,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.45 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed LG Twins | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 898.72$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed LG Twins | 73c | 777.2$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 557.61$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 509.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.49 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed LG Twins | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked LG Twins | 41c | 355.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 44c | 329.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 266.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kia Tigers | 7c | 223.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed LG Twins | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kia Tigers | 19c | 143.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed LG Twins | 45c | 132.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed LG Twins | 44c | 118.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 28c | 118.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Kia Tigers | 75c | 117.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed LG Twins | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked LG Twins | 43c | 112.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked LG Twins | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Kia Tigers | 26c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Kia Tigers | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 44c | 82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed LG Twins | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 24c | 64.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed LG Twins | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 43c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 44c | 49.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LG Twins | 35c | 47.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed LG Twins | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LG Twins | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 31c | 34.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LG Twins | 44c | 32.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed LG Twins | 46c | 32.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed LG Twins | 43c | 30.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed LG Twins | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed LG Twins | 44c | 27.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed LG Twins | 42c | 26.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…1359backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 25.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed LG Twins | 43c | 23.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.