Lol · resolved market
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb90cba2099277dce4d5cb420a730352c79ecb73ae0feee100a75483c2067eca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TLN Piratesof TLN Pirates, Esprit Shōnen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 24c | 4,439$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.68 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Esprit Shōnen | 16c | 3,804$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.53 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed TLN Pirates | 80c | 3,681$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.36 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Esprit Shōnen | 26c | 2,400$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed TLN Pirates | 74c | 2,374$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.04 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 1,210$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 23c | 1,200$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Esprit Shōnen | 4c | 1,050$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Esprit Shōnen | 2c | 1,010$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed TLN Pirates | 71c | 890$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…ae9fbacked TLN Pirates | 74c | 810.99$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.01 | 245 | 63.7%156 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TLN Pirates | 78c | 776.36$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed TLN Pirates | 76c | 756.27$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 15c | 547$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked TLN Pirates | 73c | 544.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked TLN Pirates | 75c | 529.99$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed TLN Pirates | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Esprit Shōnen | 18c | 509.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed TLN Pirates | 74c | 503.93$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 434.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 27c | 361.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TLN Pirates | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 29c | 306.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…d653backed TLN Pirates | 73c | 287.7$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed TLN Pirates | 76c | 206.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Esprit Shōnen | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked TLN Pirates | 75c | 153$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Esprit Shōnen | 11c | 137.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed TLN Pirates | 73c | 136.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…bdd7backed Esprit Shōnen | 15c | 120.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 134 | 21.6%29 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Esprit Shōnen | 26c | 114.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Esprit Shōnen | 14c | 109$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 27c | 106.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked TLN Pirates | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 136 | 60.3%82 W · 54 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Esprit Shōnen | 16c | 99.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Esprit Shōnen | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed TLN Pirates | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 65.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TLN Pirates | 79c | 62.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked TLN Pirates | 75c | 53.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TLN Pirates | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Esprit Shōnen | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TLN Pirates | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed TLN Pirates | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed TLN Pirates | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed TLN Pirates | 76c | 36.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed TLN Pirates | 74c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TLN Pirates | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…294abacked TLN Pirates | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed TLN Pirates | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Esprit Shōnen (+1.5)TLN Pirates won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsTLN Pirates won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 1 WinnerTLN Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.