Lol · resolved market
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d9ea05d97f9cb6f58829b5560e242374aa59e07e16224ede0490c91390942e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TLN Piratesof TLN Pirates, Esprit Shōnen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Esprit Shōnen | 2c | 7,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 29c | 3,758$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.28 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed TLN Pirates | 72c | 1,700$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 1,203$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.96 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Esprit Shōnen | 16c | 889.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed TLN Pirates | 70c | 631.4$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TLN Pirates | 69c | 628$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Esprit Shōnen | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Esprit Shōnen | 23c | 518$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked TLN Pirates | 73c | 506.2$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed TLN Pirates | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked TLN Pirates | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 299 | 42.8%128 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed TLN Pirates | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed TLN Pirates | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked TLN Pirates | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked TLN Pirates | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked TLN Pirates | 25c | 410.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Esprit Shōnen | 16c | 379.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed TLN Pirates | 39c | 367$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.62 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TLN Pirates | 77c | 354.69$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed TLN Pirates | 32c | 353$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.42 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked TLN Pirates | 40c | 350$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TLN Pirates | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 350$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 30c | 323.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 27c | 323.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed TLN Pirates | 35c | 321$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.06 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed TLN Pirates | 75c | 262.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Esprit Shōnen | 30c | 257.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 231.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Esprit Shōnen | 12c | 230$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Esprit Shōnen | 31c | 225.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed TLN Pirates | 27c | 225$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked TLN Pirates | 27c | 225$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed TLN Pirates | 32c | 222$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed TLN Pirates | 32c | 220$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.62 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Esprit Shōnen | 31c | 215$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 175$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 175$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 175$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 11c | 141.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…07d6backed TLN Pirates | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed TLN Pirates | 79c | 124.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TLN Pirates | 67c | 118$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Esprit Shōnen | 36c | 106.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TLN Pirates | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed TLN Pirates | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed TLN Pirates | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 621 | 50.6%314 W · 307 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Esprit Shōnen | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed TLN Pirates | 69c | 72.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Esprit Shōnen | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed TLN Pirates | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Esprit Shōnen | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Esprit Shōnen | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed TLN Pirates | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TLN Pirates | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked TLN Pirates | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed TLN Pirates | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed TLN Pirates | 72c | 15.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Esprit Shōnen (+1.5)TLN Pirates won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsTLN Pirates won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 2 WinnerTLN Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.