Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Algeria (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb955ea447c6be95f5e4c17737931d43a1286b6abda7292c03297aaec14f7fb37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Algeriaof Algeria, Bolivia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48dd…1f77backed Algeria | 22c | 7,177$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,598.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…5b2cbacked Bolivia | 78c | 3,590$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…708ebacked Bolivia | 78c | 3,587$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Bolivia | 16c | 700$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Algeria | 23c | 422.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Algeria | 27c | 379.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Bolivia | 73c | 279.31$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.9 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Algeria | 26c | 202.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Bolivia | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked Bolivia | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Bolivia | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Bolivia | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Bolivia | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Bolivia | 73c | 98.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bolivia | 76c | 97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bolivia | 74c | 55.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Algeria | 25c | 53.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked Bolivia | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Bolivia | 77c | 48.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Bolivia | 74c | 42.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Algeria | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Bolivia | 75c | 28.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Bolivia | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Bolivia | 78c | 23.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Bolivia | 76c | 16.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…ad0ebacked Bolivia | 75c | 13.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)this page
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Bolivia O/U 2.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Bolivia (-1.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.