Fifa International · resolved market
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d757061f753755220ea6bc5897b68c5c6f91c7cbf1a39847f1520b77748b9b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 36c | 7,900$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020.25 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 37c | 4,829$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.79 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 36c | 3,295$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.15 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 3,280$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.75 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 64c | 1,908$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.22 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 1,818$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.34 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 64c | 1,761$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.03 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 34c | 1,460$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.38 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 64c | 1,234$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.18 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 64c | 1,137$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.87 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 64c | 945.55$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.15 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 889$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.44 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 808.4$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 782.54$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.76 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 64c | 703.13$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 32c | 665.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.55 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 35c | 632.32$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.21 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 64c | 620$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.6 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 488.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.45 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 481.74$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.87 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 63c | 318$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 66c | 231.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.57 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…9102backed Under | 63c | 223.8$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 67c | 216.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Under | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…865fbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 34c | 146.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 67c | 144.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Under | 74c | 134.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 64c | 119.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 65c | 99.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 22c | 97.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 94.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 63c | 73.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 65c | 70.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 33c | 56.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 75c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Under | 65c | 47.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 65c | 45.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 65c | 44.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 63c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 34c | 33.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 64c | 27.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…c187backed Under | 75c | 26.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…275abacked Under | 67c | 26.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…9558backed Under | 67c | 21.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 63c | 17.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Under | 77c | 13.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5this page
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Bolivia O/U 2.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Bolivia (-1.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.