Fifa International · resolved market
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a34b26bfbe7db7b144dea640c46b5f9bded094990c64d5453760d598993435c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 59c | 7,220$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.19 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 6,813$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.09 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 60c | 5,207$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.14 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 4,540$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.17 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 44c | 3,218$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.76 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 59c | 3,045$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.27 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 1,945$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 56c | 1,779$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.3 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 1,718$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.66 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 1,068$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.47 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,004$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 44c | 904.1$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.72 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 41c | 880.49$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 46c | 871.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 39c | 857.97$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.19 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 41c | 742.47$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 55c | 527.14$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.83 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…6aa5backed Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 45c | 420$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 168$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 57c | 140.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 128$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…63a1backed Over | 45c | 127.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…03aebacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 68c | 95.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 95.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 55c | 92.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…7ec4backed Under | 43c | 91.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 46c | 86.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 59c | 83.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 20c | 81.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…e3c0backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 37c | 57.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…2402backed Under | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 49c | 48.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 55c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 44c | 35.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Under | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 42c | 29.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 40c | 26.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f88…c9c5backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…2819backed Over | 73c | 24.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 56c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…5118backed Over | 60c | 21.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…3cfdbacked Under | 75c | 20.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…c187backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5this page
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Bolivia O/U 2.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Bolivia (-1.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.