Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x076eb641024d67bf6edcd668e27dd18d3a0f5319722545ddecd6c8567218317a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Algeriaof Algeria, Bolivia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Algeria | 46c | 1,904$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.99 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Algeria | 44c | 1,819$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.75 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bolivia | 54c | 1,576$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.13 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Algeria | 45c | 1,290$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.01 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bolivia | 54c | 1,236$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.24 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Algeria | 46c | 1,226$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.63 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bolivia | 53c | 1,008$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.41 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Bolivia | 53c | 808.3$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.58 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Bolivia | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Algeria | 45c | 485.93$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.26 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Bolivia | 54c | 478.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Algeria | 45c | 447$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.85 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Algeria | 46c | 408.78$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Bolivia | 53c | 347.21$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bolivia | 55c | 320.41$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Bolivia | 52c | 301.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Algeria | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Bolivia | 51c | 267.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Algeria | 45c | 245.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Algeria | 46c | 226.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Algeria | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Algeria | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bolivia | 54c | 167.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Algeria | 45c | 149.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Bolivia | 53c | 133.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bolivia | 57c | 128$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bolivia | 58c | 120.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Algeria | 49c | 102.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8ac3backed Bolivia | 54c | 97.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Bolivia | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Algeria | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Algeria | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bolivia | 55c | 76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Bolivia | 58c | 76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Bolivia | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…3c86backed Algeria | 42c | 69.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Algeria | 47c | 66.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bolivia | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Bolivia | 53c | 56.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…af0cbacked Algeria | 48c | 53.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Bolivia | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…ab09backed Bolivia | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Bolivia | 56c | 44.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Algeria | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Bolivia | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Bolivia | 54c | 40.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Bolivia | 54c | 36.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Algeria | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Algeria | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bolivia | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Bolivia | 54c | 28.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Bolivia | 57c | 26.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f88…c9c5backed Algeria | 49c | 24.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Bolivia | 53c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Bolivia | 55c | 21.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Bolivia | 53c | 20.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)this page
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Bolivia O/U 2.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Bolivia (-1.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.