Fifa International · resolved market
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f1407c4fb9a7a9dc7cd5dd1a5e428d36a8c0947f4994f0dbe2624cb0ee6c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 1,146$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.43 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 52c | 1,097$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.06 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked No | 61c | 742.75$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.93 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 50c | 669$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 51c | 630.28$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.44 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 612.95$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 537.92$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 49c | 485$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.35 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 58c | 457.45$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 42c | 432.86$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…7596backed No | 49c | 387.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.79 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 371.88$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.47 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 50c | 362.69$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…ef32backed No | 58c | 338.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed No | 51c | 292.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 49c | 255.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 19c | 222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…dfefbacked Yes | 47c | 214.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…40c5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 168.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 50c | 143$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 40c | 122.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed No | 53c | 113.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed No | 50c | 112.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 42c | 101.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 50c | 101.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 40c | 82.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 82.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed No | 50c | 55.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…7320backed Yes | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…9baebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked No | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Yes | 40c | 32.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 52c | 30.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 46c | 25.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 49c | 23.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 54c | 22.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…e566backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed No | 51c | 20.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 55c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: Bolivia O/U 2.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Bolivia (-1.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.