Tennis · resolved market
Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba31426db6a5de0f85f4132127ca0e199ed251c3ac588abcf63dc8a7ad9ef993
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Claire Liuof Claire Liu, Ipek Oz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Ipek Oz | 21c | 7,300$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ipek Oz | 17c | 4,958$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.57 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed Ipek Oz | 28c | 4,110$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Ipek Oz | 20c | 3,891$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.21 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Ipek Oz | 21c | 2,286$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Claire Liu | 80c | 2,084$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.82 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Claire Liu | 80c | 1,706$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.19 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Ipek Oz | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ipek Oz | 9c | 1,385$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Claire Liu | 79c | 1,325$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.25 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ipek Oz | 19c | 1,289$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.87 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Ipek Oz | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Claire Liu | 79c | 981.56$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Claire Liu | 80c | 870.17$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.21 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ipek Oz | 23c | 667.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Claire Liu | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Claire Liu | 80c | 637$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ipek Oz | 15c | 611.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ipek Oz | 9c | 515.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ipek Oz | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ipek Oz | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed Ipek Oz | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Claire Liu | 72c | 299.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Ipek Oz | 21c | 272.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Ipek Oz | 20c | 266.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Ipek Oz | 21c | 262.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Claire Liu | 80c | 251.25$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Ipek Oz | 18c | 251.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Ipek Oz | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ipek Oz | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ipek Oz | 20c | 215$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Claire Liu | 80c | 186.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Ipek Oz | 21c | 166.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Claire Liu | 80c | 164.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Claire Liu | 79c | 154.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Claire Liu | 80c | 146.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Claire Liu | 72c | 139.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…53a1backed Claire Liu | 80c | 122.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ipek Oz | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Claire Liu | 80c | 111.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Ipek Oz | 11c | 101.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Claire Liu | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ipek Oz | 11c | 93.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Ipek Oz | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Ipek Oz | 20c | 74.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Claire Liu | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Claire Liu | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Claire Liu | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Ipek Oz | 25c | 61.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Claire Liu | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Claire Liu | 79c | 58.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Claire Liu | 78c | 51.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Ipek Oz | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Ipek Oz | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…6166backed Claire Liu | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…38febacked Claire Liu | 80c | 38.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Claire Liu | 80c | 30.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe6…3fd4backed Claire Liu | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Claire Liu | 80c | 20.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Claire Liu | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Claire Liu | 80c | 15.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Claire Liu | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…0ee1backed Claire Liu | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed Claire Liu | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 180 | 68.9%124 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Claire Liu | 80c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Claire Liu | 80c | 13.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Claire Liu | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Ozthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Liu vs OzLiu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.