Tennis · resolved market
Centurion: Devin Badenhorst vs Akira Santillan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb616fb81ce137bc2066d92803ab1ed8c4cf8e182cf94c6879fd5803404b9708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devin Badenhorstof Devin Badenhorst, Akira Santillan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Akira Santillan | 65c | 1,686$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.13 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Devin Badenhorst | 59c | 1,647$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.71 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Devin Badenhorst | 35c | 1,022$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.77 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Devin Badenhorst | 59c | 863.02$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.35 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Akira Santillan | 51c | 759$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.09 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Akira Santillan | 61c | 638.47$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.1 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Devin Badenhorst | 80c | 624.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Akira Santillan | 65c | 614.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Devin Badenhorst | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Devin Badenhorst | 44c | 570.17$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.42 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Akira Santillan | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Akira Santillan | 69c | 456.17$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.76 | 338 | 51.2%173 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Akira Santillan | 45c | 441.56$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Akira Santillan | 70c | 438.06$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.07 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Akira Santillan | 35c | 413.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Devin Badenhorst | 50c | 410$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.9 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Akira Santillan | 41c | 393.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Akira Santillan | 40c | 387.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Devin Badenhorst | 33c | 367.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.37 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Akira Santillan | 4c | 333.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Devin Badenhorst | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Akira Santillan | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Akira Santillan | 67c | 294.12$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Devin Badenhorst | 33c | 258.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.05 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Devin Badenhorst | 29c | 194$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Devin Badenhorst | 35c | 188.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Devin Badenhorst | 57c | 166.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Devin Badenhorst | 51c | 161.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Akira Santillan | 66c | 156.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Devin Badenhorst | 61c | 145.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Devin Badenhorst | 74c | 134.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Devin Badenhorst | 57c | 115$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Devin Badenhorst | 59c | 110.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Akira Santillan | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Devin Badenhorst | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Akira Santillan | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Devin Badenhorst | 28c | 94.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Devin Badenhorst | 31c | 93.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Devin Badenhorst | 57c | 87.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Akira Santillan | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 406 | 63.8%259 W · 147 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Akira Santillan | 17c | 74.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Devin Badenhorst | 66c | 66.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Devin Badenhorst | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Devin Badenhorst | 61c | 47.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Devin Badenhorst | 64c | 46.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Devin Badenhorst | 54c | 41.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Devin Badenhorst | 58c | 41.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Devin Badenhorst | 50c | 41.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Devin Badenhorst | 72c | 40.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Devin Badenhorst | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Devin Badenhorst | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Devin Badenhorst | 35c | 39.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Devin Badenhorst | 28c | 38.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Devin Badenhorst | 65c | 35.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Devin Badenhorst | 36c | 35.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Devin Badenhorst | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 34.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Devin Badenhorst | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked Devin Badenhorst | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Devin Badenhorst | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Devin Badenhorst | 39c | 28.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Akira Santillan | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Akira Santillan | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Akira Santillan | 64c | 24.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Akira Santillan | 65c | 21.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Akira Santillan | 65c | 18.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…41d9backed Akira Santillan | 64c | 16.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.