Fifa International · resolved market
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb7ed095aa726e4f6075ec5d639b1572be83df317f812daca4c536c995ec7cdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 75c | 2,829$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.43 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 72c | 1,047$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.05 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 21c | 1,001$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.33 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 77c | 509.73$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…b568backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…aec7backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes | 27c | 360.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…6938backed Yes | 27c | 353.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 22c | 309.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Yes | 28c | 90.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…0be9backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…6ba9backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…0c34backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 73c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 26c | 59.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…edebbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 27c | 46.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 45.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…fef3backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 76c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 71c | 15.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsthis page
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Christian Fassnacht: 1+ goalsNo won
- Christian Fassnacht: 1+ shotsNo won
- Cédric Itten: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cédric Itten: 1+ shotsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 3+ shotsYes won
- Edin Džeko: 1+ goalsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 1+ shotsYes won
- Edin Džeko: 2+ goalsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ermin Mahmić: 1+ shotsYes won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsYes won
- Granit Xhaka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Haris Tabaković: 1+ goalsNo won
- Haris Tabaković: 1+ shotsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Johan Manzambi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jovo Lukić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ shotsNo won
- Martin Zlomislić: 4+ savesNo won
- Noah Okafor: 1+ goalsNo won
- Noah Okafor: 1+ shotsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ goalsYes won
- Zeki Amdouni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Zeki Amdouni: 1+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.