Fifa International · resolved market
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2397e2010194517d8c541201dab50559e6c937738a5ada331b3b1c9f88582f26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 58c | 1,893$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.95 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 58c | 1,771$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.79 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…1b20backed No | 60c | 1,083$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.44 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…bfb2backed No | 60c | 995.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.14 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 40c | 869.72$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.19 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked No | 60c | 831.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.82 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 58c | 779.91$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.56 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 42c | 723$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b60…85e0backed Yes | 43c | 692.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 56c | 474.44$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.75 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 321.16$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Yes | 40c | 280$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked No | 61c | 263.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 58c | 261.58$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…5c1fbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…8126backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…aec7backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes | 42c | 232.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 35c | 164.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 39c | 153.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 40c | 121.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…5199backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…cfefbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed No | 60c | 57.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 42c | 50.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…c74bbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes | 39c | 48.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…53f3backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Yes | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 69c | 36.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…ee2fbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…fef3backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 28.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 67c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Christian Fassnacht: 1+ goalsNo won
- Christian Fassnacht: 1+ shotsNo won
- Cédric Itten: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cédric Itten: 1+ shotsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 3+ shotsYes won
- Edin Džeko: 1+ goalsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 1+ shotsYes won
- Edin Džeko: 2+ goalsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ermin Mahmić: 1+ shotsYes won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsYes won
- Granit Xhaka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Haris Tabaković: 1+ goalsNo won
- Haris Tabaković: 1+ shotsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Johan Manzambi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jovo Lukić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ shotsNo won
- Martin Zlomislić: 4+ savesNo won
- Noah Okafor: 1+ goalsNo won
- Noah Okafor: 1+ shotsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ goalsYes won
- Zeki Amdouni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Zeki Amdouni: 1+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.