Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb6dc9aa0f94ad2fa1724f85f7cb3fc9f00119ebf517b83c66d148ffb40419d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, ex-HEROIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed ex-HEROIC | 19c | 26,032$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.72 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked ex-HEROIC | 16c | 9,046$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.4 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 9,000$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ex-HEROIC | 17c | 7,152$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.63 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed ex-HEROIC | 18c | 6,229$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.64 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 5,707$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.19 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 5,177$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.96 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ex-HEROIC | 16c | 4,251$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.72 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked ex-HEROIC | 17c | 2,063$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.53 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed ex-HEROIC | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked ex-HEROIC | 18c | 1,669$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-HEROIC | 17c | 1,411$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 1,405$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.22 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed ex-HEROIC | 19c | 1,241$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 900$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 805.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 654.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 646.09$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked ex-HEROIC | 17c | 554.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 80c | 540$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked ex-HEROIC | 21c | 523.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ex-HEROIC | 3c | 454.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 441$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 395.88$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked Team Liquid | 80c | 329.45$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 320.95$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Liquid | 80c | 311.56$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Liquid | 79c | 300$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 293.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed ex-HEROIC | 20c | 289.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-HEROIC | 11c | 257$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked ex-HEROIC | 17c | 252.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked ex-HEROIC | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked ex-HEROIC | 16c | 177.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC | 18c | 134.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Team Liquid | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked ex-HEROIC | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-HEROIC | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed ex-HEROIC | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 99.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Liquid | 79c | 98.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed ex-HEROIC | 19c | 79.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 65.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Liquid | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Team Liquid | 74c | 49.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Team Liquid | 80c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.